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Administrator Bionic Scribe
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Administrator Bionic Scribe
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In order to ratchet this discussion down into pieces, MaRep can you help me understand your point of view better:
1. Are you aware that the term is not now nor has it ever been (among scientists, not the public) "global climate change", not "global warming"?
2. Are you aware that the vast majority of scientists working on the subject (not the ones commenting upon it) have concluded that there are significant changes to our climate now taking place?
3. Leaving aside all the politicians and commentators, do you agree that the evidence to date indicates global climate changes on a level not ever seen during our lifetime?
4. Do you agree that there are significant increases in chemicals in the global atmosphere within the past 6 decades which can only be traced to human activity?
5. Is it your argument that the conclusions some draw based upon these facts are wrong or that these facts are untrue? I am specifically excluding the statements of politicians or any scientist not actively working in the field of global climate data.
My hope is that we can isolate the rhetoric from the facts and then go from there.
Life is a banquet -- and most poor suckers are starving to death -- Auntie Mame You are born naked and everything else is drag - RuPaul
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Carpal Tunnel
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Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 19,831 Likes: 180 |
The new name for Global Climate Change is Climate Disruption. It has been determined that Global Climate Change sounds too benign and not enough folks are panicking, thus the new moniker. This Whitehouse appears somewhat less adept at inciting fear in the public than was the previous. Many still believe there are WMDs in Iraq but that we simply haven't found where Saddam is hiding them yet. But Global Climate Disruption is a Democratic thing so must be denied until hell freezes over...so to speak. Perhaps if this were referred to as Weather of Mass Destruction it would be taken more seriously by those non-liberals among us.
Good coffee, good weed, and time on my hands...
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Pooh-Bah
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Pooh-Bah
Joined: Dec 2005
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Perhaps if this were referred to as Weather of Mass Destruction it would be taken more seriously by those non-liberals among us. Or perhaps if it were a terrist plot by the weather undeground
"It's not a lie if you believe it." -- George Costanza The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves. --Bertrand Russel
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old hand
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old hand
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"The experiment was flawed from the beginning. . .."
What experiment? Who has been experimenting with the global climate? How? When?
Show us. Stop the goddamned preaching and show us the facts.
What experiment? Any scientific thesis starts with an assumption and proceeds to the experimentation stage. During experimentation the thesis is tested at its limits to see if further testing is necessary. That testing phase, also called experimentation, is what decides whether the thesis is correct or flawed. If the thesis is flawed then it must be refined or discarded. In this case the thesis was at least flawed, but the data was manipulated to prove the thesis. That is a simple explanation of the scientific process. It is a standard that is taught in every vocational high school, technical institute and engineering college in America. Everything is an experiment, without experimentation validity cannot exist.
A proud member of the Vast Right-wing Conspiracy, Massachusetts Chapter
“The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants.” Thomas Jefferson
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Joined: Nov 2006
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Carpal Tunnel
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Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 19,831 Likes: 180 |
Collection of Data is another important phase of the process. The data collected seems to be pointing in the general direction of increased greenhouse gasses, melting Polar ice, rising sea levels and an overall increase in temperatures worldwide.
But it has been suggested that some computer models may have been flawed so this data must all be discounted until the computer programs are perfected or the end of life as we know it on this planet occurs.
But on this point Tim and I agree: It seems mighty gaddamned cold outside to be worried about Global Climate Disruption as it relates to excessive warming.
Good coffee, good weed, and time on my hands...
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Member CHB-OG
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Member CHB-OG
Joined: May 2005
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- The scientific method is a way to ask and answer scientific questions by making observations and doing experiments.
- The steps of the scientific method are to:
• Ask a Question : The scientific method starts when you ask a question about something that you observe: How, What, When, Who, Which, Why, or Where?
And, in order for the scientific method to answer the question it must be about something that you can measure, preferably with a number.
• Do Background Research: Rather than starting from scratch in putting together a plan for answering your question, you want to be a savvy scientist using library and Internet research to help you find the best way to do things and insure that you don't repeat mistakes from the past. • Construct a Hypothesis : A hypothesis is an educated guess about how things work:
"If _____[I do this] _____, then _____[this]_____ will happen." You must state your hypothesis in a way that you can easily measure, and of course, your hypothesis should be constructed in a way to help you answer your original question.
•Test Your Hypothesis by Doing an Experiment : Your experiment tests whether your hypothesis is true or false. It is important for your experiment to be a fair test. You conduct a fair test by making sure that you change only one factor at a time while keeping all other conditions the same. You should also repeat your experiments several times to make sure that the first results weren't just an accident.
• Analyze Your Data and Draw a Conclusion : Once your experiment is complete, you collect your measurements and analyze them to see if your hypothesis is true or false. Scientists often find that their hypothesis was false, and in such cases they will construct a new hypothesis starting the entire process of the scientific method over again. Even if they find that their hypothesis was true, they may want to test it again in a new way.
• Communicate Your Results:To complete your science project you will communicate your results to others in a final report and/or a display board. Professional scientists publish their final report in a scientific journal or by presenting their results to a scientific audience.
- It is important for your experiment to be a fair test. A "fair test" occurs when you change only one factor (variable) and keep all other conditions the same.
Contrarian, extraordinaire
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Pooh-Bah
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Pooh-Bah
Joined: Sep 2005
Posts: 12,581 |
Well, there is "science" and then there are the faithful in science. Wherever there are the faithful, there will be hucksters who prey upon that faith. And where there are hucksters there will be opportunity by manipulators to put them to use for political purposes. So, we must endure the prattle of those followers who claim, "the science shows ..." whenever it is politically useful to their cause, or has been massaged into being politically useful. At some point the thinking person recognizes when they are being BS'd and begins to question the source and the filtering done prior to release for public consumption. Yours, Issodhos Is this just rhetoric or do you have any proof to back this up? Let's just say it is from observation, Schlack. Hopefully that is not considered blasphemy among the Initiates of All Things 'Science'.:-) Yours, Issodhos
Last edited by issodhos; 12/14/10 04:09 AM.
"When all has been said that can be said, and all has been done that can be done, there will be poetry";-) -- Issodhos
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Administrator Bionic Scribe
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Administrator Bionic Scribe
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 21,134 |
"The experiment was flawed from the beginning. . .."
What experiment? Who has been experimenting with the global climate? How? When?
Show us. Stop the goddamned preaching and show us the facts.
What experiment? Any scientific thesis starts with an assumption and proceeds to the experimentation stage. During experimentation the thesis is tested at its limits to see if further testing is necessary. That testing phase, also called experimentation, is what decides whether the thesis is correct or flawed. If the thesis is flawed then it must be refined or discarded. In this case the thesis was at least flawed, but the data was manipulated to prove the thesis. That is a simple explanation of the scientific process. It is a standard that is taught in every vocational high school, technical institute and engineering college in America. Everything is an experiment, without experimentation validity cannot exist. Now Ma, that is plain cheating. You know and it has been proven many times here and elsewhere, that no data manipulation occurred and the reports that it did have been proven false. So do you just refuse to admit this because it is inconvenient? I note that you chose not to respond to my questions which raises in my mind a question of your good faith.
Life is a banquet -- and most poor suckers are starving to death -- Auntie Mame You are born naked and everything else is drag - RuPaul
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Joined: Sep 2005
Posts: 12,581
Pooh-Bah
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Pooh-Bah
Joined: Sep 2005
Posts: 12,581 |
Yeah, I poke some fun at the "science", and the parens really do deserve to be around the term when talking about global warming, and Phil I really must insist on calling it what it was called when all of those world famous scientists climbed on board to advocate trials for deniers and firings for meterologists who disagreed. Indeed, the cry of "global warming" was heard and read far and wide. But, a few years ago, when the scary stuff they were predicting wasn't happening, some cover was needed. They found it by expanding from "Global Warming" to "Climate Change", which gave them much more latitude (no pun intended). But, alas, that too left them uncomfortably restricted as well, so a couple of months ago a bozo from the Obama administration once again expanded it, this time to "Climate Disruption". One would think that would cover any climatic event taking place anywhere on the planet. And, like the faithful of some cults who think the world will end on December 29, 2010 at 4:32pm as opposed to an earlier date once predicted by them, so to do the faithful of Climate Disruption cults see every climatic twitch as proof the world is about to be subjected to horrendous events, while those whose true faith is in manufacturing fear happily go about spreading as much of it as they can in the hope of furthering their political agendas. It seems the more often we are lied to by the Chicken Little crowd, the more we are expected to have blind faith in what they say -- I mean, unless we want to be associated with Holocaust deniers.:-) Yours, Issodhos
"When all has been said that can be said, and all has been done that can be done, there will be poetry";-) -- Issodhos
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Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 5,850
old hand
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old hand
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 5,850 |
It is rather silly to hear suggestions that any amount of science proves global warming, global climate change, whatever panicky phrase one wishes to use, is a reality. I mean really. If it was really happening, not just being made to appear to be happening, then certainly by now someone would have discovered a way to get from the Atlantic Ocean to the Pacific Ocean by going north of the Canadian/European land masses instead of south through the Panama Canal or around the Cape of Good Hope or Cape Horn! I mean, really, if the polar ice caps were in fact melting, then one could realize the search for the Northwest Passage and accomplish the feat that eludes so many back in the 16th and 17th centuries. And if over the course of 500 years it still isn't possible then this must all be tommyrot fradulent science!! Let's get real here! Oh. Wait a minute. This just in: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/6995999.stm
"The white men were as thick and numerous and aimless as grasshoppers, moving always in a hurry but never seeming to get to whatever place it was they were going to." Dee Brown
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