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As far as consequences go, I agree. Causation, as I have said many times on this very thread, is not easily provable. However, it is not far fetched to think that those that would benefit most from a war or intervention would be the first place to look for either of their causes.
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them." Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month." Dostoevsky