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Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
At one point in my life I had a lot of respect for Noam Chomsky, but the analysis that you quoted here, Ezekiel, is so thin as to be laughable... indeed, I did. He was once a dizzying intellect. Now, he is just dizzy. The problem is that he creates a premise, then allows no other explanation than his stated view even when the evidence he adduces doesn't even support his point. Hidden in all of the words is a startling lack of substance.

Libya is probably the least economically-driven conflict currently in the Middle East. There is certainly an economic component, but it was far more about the history of suppression and possibility of freedom than an external push for resources. Now, was there a significant element of economic interest for some of the intervenors? Of course. But the brush is simply not broad enough to paint a majority of them that way.

I disagree. I think that while Chomsky has made some bold statements, and as with any bold statement, they can SEEM off-the-wall, my experience (both personal and just reading his comments) is that he has a depth of understanding and more information than may be apparent.
Libya is a case where I think economics does play a major role. The notion that a geopolitical strategy needs to be stated out loud, as you know, is rather contrary to reality.
U.S. interests in the middle east are, and always have been, born of economic reasons. I don't see where Libya is any different. Oil is not just a commodity, it has become the currency of the world. Whoever controls that currency, controls the world.
The U.S. (present administration included) has always declared its wish to be THE world power. Hilary Clinton's recent statements about the Benghazi affair, Obama's pronouncements to the nation and to the troops, Hagel's most recent grilling for the job of Sec. of Defense all make clear that nothing has changed with respect to America's wish to dominate (economically and, as a result, politically) the world stage.
When the U.S. president is referred to as the leader of the free world what does that mean?
When the U.S. is referred to as a military superpower, the richest country on the planet, etc. what does that mean?
I think the motivations are apparent. I don't think the U.S. is the only country that wants the job. I'm sure there are others. But at present, the U.S. seems to be the center of this question.


"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
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"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
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You know, this thread has drifted substantially from "unintended consequences" to "intended consequences" of military intervention. wink


A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
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Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
You know, this thread has drifted substantially from "unintended consequences" to "intended consequences" of military intervention. wink

I know wink
The proverbial bad penny keeps turning up.


"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce

"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky



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Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Please tell me where I denied saying that economics was the main reason. I have always maintained that point. What I didn't say is that it is the only reason.
Surely you see the difference.

Zeke
there is a very large difference between saying (for example) Catholic priests sometimes molest children, or saying that Catholic preists almost always molest children.

And, for the purpose of clarity, there is a lot of difference between saying that religion is one of the main causes of all wars.... and saying that you define religion to be so expansive in its impact on nearly everything that therefore it is true that religion is the main cause of all wars.

And it is even a further leap of illogic to observe that the Catholic Church is the largest and richest organaized religion... and therefore the cause of almost all wars

Last edited by Ardy; 02/01/13 06:18 PM.

"It's not a lie if you believe it." -- George Costanza
The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves. --Bertrand Russel
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Originally Posted by Ardy
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Please tell me where I denied saying that economics was the main reason. I have always maintained that point. What I didn't say is that it is the only reason.
Surely you see the difference.

Zeke
there is a very large difference between saying (for example) Catholic priests sometimes molest children, or saying that Catholic preists almost always molest children.

And, for the purpose of clarity, there is a lot of difference between saying that religion is one of the main causes of all wars.... and saying that you define religion to be so expansive in its impact on nearly everything that therefore it is true that religion is the main cause of all wars.

And it is even a further leap of illogic to observe that the Catholic Church is the largest and richest organaized religion... and therefore the cause of almost all wars

Right, so, I said it a hundred times and here goes 101 - I think that economics is almost always the cause of war.
I did not define economics, we have been, for all of this thread, assuming a definition that involves economic gain.
That sounds like a fair assumption.
I never said that because the U.S. is the richest country it is the cause of all wars. It would actually be quite the opposite: the U.S. became the richest country because of interventions and wars (not only because of that and not all of which were started by the U.S., so please let's not go there again). And further, interventions and wars help to maintain it as the richest country.
Ardy, from my point of view, anyway you slice it economics will be a major factor, and if not 100% of the time, a large percentage of the time it will be the main underlying cause of war.
There is no reason to complicate this anymore than it already is.
I have also said that I don't believe this can be proved, but I do believe the facts substantiate the idea.


"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce

"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky



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I think, Ezekiel, that you have jumped back into the causation trap again with both feet. Just because wars always have economic effects does not mean that economics is the cause of the war. It is logic 101. Nor is it true that participation in war creates economic bounty - indeed, the opposite is generally true. The United States has succeeded despite, not because of, its participation in wars. Vietnam and Iraq are prime examples of that. Are their entities that gain economically as a result of war, yes, but not the economy as a whole. Indeed, it has been demonstrated that it was not WWII, but the economic policies put into place before it, that ended the depression. WWII actually set us back economically, but the end of the war brought prosperity because of the underlying infrastructure changes that had occurred during and after it.

In sum, I think the premise is fundamentally flawed.


A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
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In fact, I think you are mistaking my argument.
I am not conflating the cause with the outcome. The outcome can be beneficial or not and I have drawn no parallel twixt them.
That there are economic problems caused by war was never in dispute.
The cause, what prompted the war, is.


Quote
Nearly all wars are fought over control of territory, and sometimes over specific economic resources such as minerals, farmland, or cities. The patterns of victory and defeat in wars through history have shaped the direction of the world economy and its institutions. For example, when Portugal in the 16th century used ship-borne cannons to open sea routes to Asia and wrested the pepper trade away from Venice (which depended on land routes through the Middle East), it set in motion a profound shift in Europe's economic center of gravity away from the Mediterranean and towards the Atlantic.

Wars of conquest can more than pay for themselves, if successful. The nomadic horse-raiders of the Iron Age Eurasian steppes found profit in plunder. Similarly, the 17th- to 18th-century Dahomey Kingdom (present-day Benin) made war on its neighbors to capture slaves, whom it sold to Europeans at port (for guns to continue its wars). War benefitted the Dahomey Kingdom at the expense of its depopulated neighbors. Likewise, present-day armies in Democratic Congo and Sierra Leone are fighting to control diamond production areas, which in turn fund those armies. According to one controversial school of thought, states in undertaking wars behave as rational actors maximizing their net benefits. However, wars are fought for many reasons beyond conquering valuable commodities.

Successful empires have used war to centralize control of an economic zone, often pushing that zone in directions most useful to continued military strength. Transportation and information infrastructures reflect the central authority's political control. When European states conquered overseas colonies militarily (16th to 19th centuries), they developed those colonies economically to benefit the mother country. For example, most railroads in southwestern Africa were built - and still run - from mining and plantation areas to ports. Empires, however, inherently suffer the problems of centralized economies, such as inefficiency, low morale, and stagnation. Some scholars argue that empires also overstretch their resources by fighting expensive wars far from home, contributing to their own demise.

In recent centuries, the largest great-power wars have been won by ocean-going, trading nations whose economic style differs sharply from that of land-based empires. Rather than administer conquered territories, these "hegemons" allow nations to control their own economies and to trade fairly freely with each other. This free trade ultimately benefitted hegemons as advanced producers who sought worldwide export markets. The Netherlands after the Thirty Years' War (1648), Britain after the Napoleonic Wars (1815), and the United States after the World Wars (1945) each enjoyed predominance in world trade. By virtue of superior naval military power, each of these great powers shaped (and to some extent enforced) the rules and norms for the international economy. For example, the international financial institutions of the Bretton Woods system grew out of U.S. predominance after World War II. As nations recover in the decades following a great war, however, their power tends to equalize, so a hegemon's raw power gradually matters less, and international economic institutions tend to become more independent - surviving because they offer mutual benefits and help resolve collective goods dilemmas. For example, the United States today, despite its military predominance, does not unilaterally control the World Trade Organization.

Naval power has been used historically to win specific trading and extraction rights, in addition to its broader uses in establishing global economic orders. When asked the reasons for declaring war on the Dutch, a 17th-century English general replied, "What matters this or that reason? What we want is more of the trade the Dutch now have." U.S. warships in the 19th century forced open Japan's closed economy. And in the mid-1990s, both Canada and Russia used warships to drive away foreign fishing boats from areas of the high seas that shared fish populations with Canadian and Russian exclusive economic zones as defined under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea. In recent decades, disputes over control of small islands - which now convey fishing and mining rights up to 200 miles in all directions, have led to military hostilities in the South China Sea and the Falklands/Malvinas, among others.

Military power has provided the basis for extracting tolls and tariffs on trade, in addition to its more direct role in conquest of resources and trade routes. Danish cannons overlooking the Baltic Sound gave the Danes for centuries a stream of income from tolls on the Baltic trade. River-borne trade in Europe faced similar choke-points where strategic military fortifications allowed tolls to be charged. The military defeat of the Ottoman empire, by contrast, cost Turkey the ability to control or tax traffic from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean, which today includes a large and growing number of oil tankers.

Joshua S. Goldstein
Professor Emeritus, School of International Service, American University
Nonresident Sadat Senior Fellow, CIDCM, University of Maryland
and Research Scholar, Dept. of Political Science, University of Massachusetts, Amherst


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I'm not sure that I necessarily disagree, but to do so is at the expense of accepting sloppy thought. In the last citation, for example, "economics" is defined so broadly (e.g. "territory") as to be essentially meaningless. Were the Crusades all about economics, or Mohammed's Caliphate? Is that what motivates Al Qaeda or the Taliban? The argument can be made, but the distortions required to get there may abuse logic. My point is merely that the broader the assertion, the wider must be the definition to accommodate its logic. Indeed, bordering on tautological.

I posit that all wars are initiated by bad people. "Initiated" includes all participants - after all, it takes two to tangle. "Bad people" are those that initiate wars. A solid, unassailable assertion.


A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
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Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Please tell me where I denied saying that economics was the main reason. I have always maintained that point. What I didn't say is that it is the only reason.
Surely you see the difference.
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Right, so, I said it a hundred times and here goes 101 - I think that economics is almost always the cause of war.
.
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
My hypothesis is quite specific, to wit:
ECONOMICS IS THE MAIN MOTIVATION FOR WARS AND INTERVENTIONS.
I haven't asked 100 times, but I have asked numerous times, which claim are you making? Sometimes it's "is" sometimes it's "almost always". Surely you see the difference.


You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the old model obsolete.
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To clarify my last post, I recognize that he was saying, "nearly all wars are fought over control of territory." But, isn't that, from an analytical standpoint, merely asserting a tautology? What, after all, is "war"? And mustn't it be fought somewhere? Even if that "space" might be virtual (e.g., cyberwarfare), it can be confidently asserted that it is "territory."

I'm not belittling the argument, I just want to put it in a meaningful context.


A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
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