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Scoutgal #289840 07/13/16 06:22 AM
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It's the Despair Quotient!
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Forget Trump, okay?
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes?

This is a TWO PART answer, by the way because it's not only "guess who picks", it's also "guess who they get to pick FROM".


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Scoutgal #289844 07/13/16 10:16 AM
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Recent polls from Real Clear Politics:

[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]

Nate Silver's 538

[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]

Hillary Clinton (chance of winning)
77.4%

Donald Trump (chance of winning)
22.5%



These numbers do not reflect the recent endorsement of Hillary by Sanders. They do not reflect the campaign that is crisscrossing the country to get young people out to vote. And, they do not reflect the possible choice of Newt the pig's designation as VEEP (manna from heaven) on the Trump ticket, if such a ticket ever really exists.

[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]


Last edited by Ezekiel; 07/13/16 10:53 AM.

"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce

"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky



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the House and top 3 candidates (assuming Johnson is ahead of Stein)

the Republican House may vote against Mr Trump and Sec Clinton and elect the Libertarian candidate as the least offensive among the 3



ignorance is the enemy
without equality there is no liberty
Save America - Lock Trump Up!!!!

Scoutgal #289846 07/13/16 12:40 PM
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The planet Kolob??? ROTFMOL


"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce

"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky



Scoutgal #289880 07/14/16 12:13 AM
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Actually, if nobody got the required majority of electoral votes The House could vote for any American citizen over the age of 35. That is the only limitation in the law. They are not limited to the candidates who ran.

They would probably pick Speaker Ryan, if he agreed.

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Election Update: When To Freak Out About Shocking New Polls -FiveThirtyEight.Com

I get tired of the breathless reportage of each newly released poll. Today was a big such day. The reality is that, almost definitively, the poll is wrong. That is one of the reasons I like FiveThirtyEight. They weight the polls by reliability, sample size, etc., THEN aggregate them. That eliminates most of the outliers and gives a better feel for trends. Nate Silver recommends mostly ignoring them until August.


A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
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Originally Posted by 12th Amendment
... and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President.

sorry ... had to have electoral votes


ignorance is the enemy
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Save America - Lock Trump Up!!!!

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Originally Posted by Jeffery J.
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes?
Zeke will know this answer given that he's our resident mathematician. is there even a permeable that shows that reaching 270 is not possible?


Contrarian, extraordinaire


Scoutgal #289894 07/14/16 07:12 AM
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It doesn't take any math skills at all: If both candidates got 269 electoral college votes then nobody has a majority and it goes to the House. But it is just very unlikely, especially in this election. Nate Silver shows 342:197.

pdx rick #289899 07/14/16 10:15 AM
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Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J.
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes?
Zeke will know this answer given that he's our resident mathematician. is there even a permeable that shows that reaching 270 is not possible?

See my response to Jeff's post, based on Stats reported by Nate Silver and the WaPo and Real Clear Politics.
There is little chance that that will happen.


"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce

"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky



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