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Dec 6th, 2017
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Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 17,178 Likes: 255
It's the Despair Quotient! Carpal Tunnel
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It's the Despair Quotient! Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 17,178 Likes: 255 |
Forget Trump, okay?
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes?
This is a TWO PART answer, by the way because it's not only "guess who picks", it's also "guess who they get to pick FROM".
"The Best of the Leon Russell Festivals" DVD
deepfreezefilms.com
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388
old hand
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old hand
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388 |
Recent polls from Real Clear Politics: ![[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]](https://s31.postimg.org/dig4ycnqj/Poll1.png) Nate Silver's 538 ![[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]](https://s31.postimg.org/80oqh1xvf/538.png) Hillary Clinton (chance of winning) 77.4% Donald Trump (chance of winning) 22.5% These numbers do not reflect the recent endorsement of Hillary by Sanders. They do not reflect the campaign that is crisscrossing the country to get young people out to vote. And, they do not reflect the possible choice of Newt the pig's designation as VEEP (manna from heaven) on the Trump ticket, if such a ticket ever really exists. ![[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]](https://s31.postimg.org/68v0yribf/pollgraph.png)
Last edited by Ezekiel; 07/13/16 10:53 AM.
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky
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Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 8,111 Likes: 136
veteran
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veteran
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 8,111 Likes: 136 |
the House and top 3 candidates (assuming Johnson is ahead of Stein)
the Republican House may vote against Mr Trump and Sec Clinton and elect the Libertarian candidate as the least offensive among the 3
ignorance is the enemy
without equality there is no liberty
America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388
old hand
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old hand
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388 |
The planet Kolob??? 
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky
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Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 12,129 Likes: 257
Pooh-Bah
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Pooh-Bah
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 12,129 Likes: 257 |
Actually, if nobody got the required majority of electoral votes The House could vote for any American citizen over the age of 35. That is the only limitation in the law. They are not limited to the candidates who ran.
They would probably pick Speaker Ryan, if he agreed.
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Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
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Moderator Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191 |
Election Update: When To Freak Out About Shocking New Polls -FiveThirtyEight.ComI get tired of the breathless reportage of each newly released poll. Today was a big such day. The reality is that, almost definitively, the poll is wrong. That is one of the reasons I like FiveThirtyEight. They weight the polls by reliability, sample size, etc., THEN aggregate them. That eliminates most of the outliers and gives a better feel for trends. Nate Silver recommends mostly ignoring them until August.
A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.
Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
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Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 8,111 Likes: 136
veteran
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veteran
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 8,111 Likes: 136 |
... and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. sorry ... had to have electoral votes
ignorance is the enemy
without equality there is no liberty
America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions
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Joined: May 2005
Posts: 47,433 Likes: 373
Member CHB-OG
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Member CHB-OG
Joined: May 2005
Posts: 47,433 Likes: 373 |
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes? Zeke will know this answer given that he's our resident mathematician. is there even a permeable that shows that reaching 270 is not possible?
Contrarian, extraordinaire
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Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 12,129 Likes: 257
Pooh-Bah
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Pooh-Bah
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 12,129 Likes: 257 |
It doesn't take any math skills at all: If both candidates got 269 electoral college votes then nobody has a majority and it goes to the House. But it is just very unlikely, especially in this election. Nate Silver shows 342:197.
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388
old hand
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old hand
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388 |
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes? Zeke will know this answer given that he's our resident mathematician. is there even a permeable that shows that reaching 270 is not possible? See my response to Jeff's post, based on Stats reported by Nate Silver and the WaPo and Real Clear Politics. There is little chance that that will happen.
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky
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