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Dec 6th, 2017
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Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
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Moderator Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191 |
It's that mathematical advantage that gives me hope. To win, Trump needs to win everything. He needs every swing State. Or turn at least a few blue States red.
A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.
Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
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Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 12,129 Likes: 257
Pooh-Bah
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Pooh-Bah
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 12,129 Likes: 257 |
So why do we keep losing the Senate? The House I can understand: It's the gerrymandered districts. But why the Senate?
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388
old hand
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old hand
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388 |
So why do we keep losing the Senate? The House I can understand: It's the gerrymandered districts. But why the Senate? Local elections have an entirely different dynamic. People tend to vote without regard to Party. So much so that NYC has had Republican mayors and the State has had Republican Governor.
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky
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Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
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Moderator Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191 |
Because the Senate is dominated by small population States. California has 21% of the population, but two Senators. New York, 2 Senators. Illinois, 2 Senators. But then, so does Alaska, Wyoming, Montana, Arizona, both North AND South Dakota... with a combined population of 4 million (less than Cook COUNTY, IL and less than half the population of Los Angeles County). The nine most populous U.S. states contain slightly more than half of the total population. The 25 least populous states contain less than one-sixth of the total populatio, but still have 50 Senators.
A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.
Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
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Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 12,129 Likes: 257
Pooh-Bah
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Pooh-Bah
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 12,129 Likes: 257 |
Oh yes, brain fart. Must be the MS. (Handy excuse for any stupidity!)
We win the popular vote and the electoral college but we lose the majority of the states
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Joined: May 2005
Posts: 47,433 Likes: 373
Member CHB-OG
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Member CHB-OG
Joined: May 2005
Posts: 47,433 Likes: 373 |
Contrarian, extraordinaire
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Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 12,005 Likes: 133
Pooh-Bah
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Pooh-Bah
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 12,005 Likes: 133 |
Looks like Clinton's post convention bump is kicking in... http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#nowI wonder if the Kahn incident is figuring in yet?
You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the old model obsolete.
R. Buckminster Fuller
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388
old hand
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old hand
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388 |
Seems like it may start to kick in if it already hasn't: John McCain Denounces Donald Trump’s Comments on Family of Muslim Soldier
McCain on Trump: “In the end, I am morally bound to speak only to the things that command my allegiance, and to which I have dedicated my life’s work: the Republican Party, and more important, the United States of America. I will not refrain from doing my utmost by those lights simply because it may benefit others with whom I disagree. I claim no moral superiority over Donald Trump. I have a long and well-known public and private record for which I will have to answer at the Final Judgment, and I repose my hope in the promise of mercy and the moderation of age. I challenge the nominee to set the example for what our country can and should represent.”
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky
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Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
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Moderator Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191 |
I suspect not. This, however, is what I have been expecting (and I'm not prescient, it's what a lot of political observers have expected). The race has returned to where it was, mostly, before the conventions. But we still have 3 months of ups-and-downs. It is incumbent upon Clinton to really push, which she is fully capable of doing. Another thing... I'm getting really tired of Paul Manafort. He's like the ultimate flak. He reminds me of the odious characters on "Wag the Dog" and "Our Brand is Crisis". The Quiet American - Slate ("Paul Manafort made a career out of stealthily reinventing the world’s nastiest tyrants as noble defenders of freedom. Getting Donald Trump elected will be a cinch.") I watched the Sunday talk shows, and he was on all of them. Man is he smarmy.
A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.
Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388
old hand
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old hand
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388 |
I watched the Sunday talk shows, and he was on all of them. Man is he smarmy. I can't imagine a better front man for the Donald. Peas in a pod. Cut from the same cloth. Soul mates...
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky
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