Originally Posted by Ezekiel
This part of the methodology makes about as much sense as asking squirrels who they will vote for.

Quote
Results are weighted to match demographic characteristics, such as race and gender, from the U.S. Census Current Population Survey and aligned to the 2012 presidential election outcome using self-reported vote in that election.

Emphasis is mine.

Another issue is they are asking the respondents who they "think" will win. That, in itself, is meaningless.

I have know about this for awhile, that is why I caution people to not take the results as a trend for Trump. It is a VERY atypical polling method.