|
0 members (),
6
guests, and
1
robot. |
|
Key:
Admin,
Global Mod,
Mod
|
|
|
Forums59
Topics17,129
Posts314,630
Members6,305
| |
Most Online294
Dec 6th, 2017
|
|
|
There are no members with birthdays on this day. |
|
|
|
Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 9,740 Likes: 1
veteran
|
OP
veteran
Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 9,740 Likes: 1 |
Using the 270 to win template, post your predictions here ![[Linked Image from 270towin.com]](http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/BO983.png) I have based my prediction on Clinton's polling strength in the NE Firewall (barring some outlier polls) and also the early voting reports in NV, NC and FL. The Latino vote to drag her over the line in AZ. Ohio may go to Trump and I was tempted to add Georgia to the Clinton column. Also watch Texas, I've given it to Trump based on polling but the female/Latino vote might give a very outside chance to Clinton (highly improbable).
Last edited by Schlack; 11/07/16 12:22 PM.
"The basic tool for the manipulation of reality is the manipulation of words. If you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use the words."
(Philip K.Dick)
|
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
|
|
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191 |
I gave Ohio and Arizona to Trump but Clinton all of Maine. I have her between 323 and 324 EV (Nebraska's split vote). I thought the thing to watch, though, was the transit strike ongoing in Philly that could disrupt inner city voting and depress Clinton's vote there. (Philly is a big, big need for her.) But, the strike ended this morning! The end of the email saga really put the wind in her sails. The LA Times has your same prediction, by the way, adding Arizona and Ohio to her column.
I also have the Senate going 49-49, but with the two Independents caucusing with the Dems, that gives them 51%. It's too close. I was hoping for 54 seats. Comey fixed that.
A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.
Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
|
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 9,740 Likes: 1
veteran
|
|
OP
veteran
Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 9,740 Likes: 1 |
oops, should have had a closer look at Ohio! Still I'm counting on women to bring this home for Clinton.
edit:
one further piece of info for digestion is the large number of undecideds. In the GOP primaries, until Trump had the nomination tied up, the undecided never broke for him, always his opponents.
Last edited by Schlack; 11/07/16 02:12 PM.
"The basic tool for the manipulation of reality is the manipulation of words. If you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use the words."
(Philip K.Dick)
|
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 8,110 Likes: 136
veteran
|
veteran
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 8,110 Likes: 136 |
wow ... it appears many folks have a "blowout" going to Sec Clinton (and it is not just you guys)
I still see a white knuckle, nail biter
ignorance is the enemy
without equality there is no liberty
America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions
|
|
|
|
|
Joined: May 2005
Posts: 47,433 Likes: 373
Member CHB-OG
|
|
Member CHB-OG
Joined: May 2005
Posts: 47,433 Likes: 373 |
My predictions: ![[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]](https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/9772b5bc5f9da03b541b5d00bcbb5e4503959dcbac4187ef0b0a8f54d2fc4182.png)
Contrarian, extraordinaire
|
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 9,740 Likes: 1
veteran
|
|
OP
veteran
Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 9,740 Likes: 1 |
wow ... it appears many folks have a "blowout" going to Sec Clinton (and it is not just you guys)
I still see a white knuckle, nail biter She has a solid 2-3% lead in most aggregators. A polling miss one way would give a narrow Trump victory, a polling miss the other way would give Clinton a blowout (had to be careful with my workding there considering the history).
"The basic tool for the manipulation of reality is the manipulation of words. If you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use the words."
(Philip K.Dick)
|
|
|
|
|
Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 17,177 Likes: 254
It's the Despair Quotient! Carpal Tunnel
|
|
It's the Despair Quotient! Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 17,177 Likes: 254 |
"The Best of the Leon Russell Festivals" DVD
deepfreezefilms.com
|
|
|
|
|
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388
old hand
|
|
old hand
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,388 |
My one cent... ![[Linked Image from 270towin.com]](http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/B1Poo.png)
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them."
Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month."
Dostoevsky
|
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
|
|
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191 |
![[Linked Image from 270towin.com]](http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/18jb3.png) If yours was a penny, Zeke, mine is a ha'penny.
A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.
Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
|
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
|
|
Moderator Carpal Tunnel
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 18,003 Likes: 191 |
A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.
Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich
|
|
|
|
|
![[Linked Image from 270towin.com]](http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/NelZQ.png)
