I gave Ohio and Arizona to Trump but Clinton all of Maine. I have her between 323 and 324 EV (Nebraska's split vote). I thought the thing to watch, though, was the transit strike ongoing in Philly that could disrupt inner city voting and depress Clinton's vote there. (Philly is a big, big need for her.) But, the strike ended this morning! The end of the email saga really put the wind in her sails. The LA Times has your same prediction, by the way, adding Arizona and Ohio to her column.

I also have the Senate going 49-49, but with the two Independents caucusing with the Dems, that gives them 51%. It's too close. I was hoping for 54 seats. Comey fixed that.


A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich