in any normal election cycle for the house, the average competitive districts where the district might change hands is around 35. Years like 2010 and 2018 aren't normal. This year Charlie Cook puts safe seats for the Democrats at 200, safe seats for the Republicans 181. Which leaves 54 that are actually in play with incumbents having tremendous advantages.

Out of that 54 for 2020 as of this date, 23 are rated in the tossup column. The rest, 31 are in districts rated competitive, but where one party or the other has an advantage.

Rothenberg, Sabato, others give very close ratings to what Cook has. The way the districts are drawn which include gerrymandering, the must of having majority minority districts, then regardless of how the district is drawn, certain states have a huge advantage to one party over the other which results usually between only 35-50 seats having a chance of switching parties with that number cut in half if one is looking at tossup only.


It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.