I use polls to more or less spot trends. Trump's two to four point lead among independents over the generic Democratic Presidential Candidate has been constant since the first of the year.

It's like I look at the RCP averages and see the trend for the Democratic Nomination, nationwide is for Warren. Biden and Sanders has been pretty much a flat line since August with Warren rising 8 points.

If one is a Warren fan, that's good news, not so good for Biden and Sanders. It's isn't the numbers as much as it is the trend. A trend over a couple to three months means more than just the numbers of a single poll. At least to me. This is why in the Generic Presidential the steadiness of Trump's lead among independents mean much more than the poll showing him ahead by 2 or 3 points. These folks seem to have made their mind up about Trump and the Democrats. But we have a huge 40% or so yet to make up their minds. This latter number is an important one in my opinion.


It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.