There are only a few ways the upcoming primaries and general election can turn out. I've noted in the past that early frontrunners often do not win. Biden was like comfort food and led from the start. But there was no substance to his campaign. No new ideas, no excitement. Nothing but a politician in his twilight years who reminded folks of Obama but without the hope for change. Just an old codger who's not sure what town he's in, or who he's talking to, or why.

I knew from the start that Biden was going to be a problem. At this point I figured we'd be looking at Biden, Bernie, and Beto. I had given Warren up as unelectable. Beto faded fast but Warren surprised me. Bernie peaked in 2016 and he's doing exactly as I expected him to this time around. The single digit candidates will remain exactly that and would be doing the rest of us a favor if they'd drop out and endorse one of the frontrunners.

So we've got milquetoast Joe, socialist firebrand Bernie, and a lady who claims to have plans that will help out working folks.

I think the candidate with a plan will come out on top in the end.

So my pick for the Democratic nomination is Warren. Not because I love her or her plans but because I think her campaign will resonate with voters. Her slow, steady rise in the polls and promises of sugarplums for the working class are gonna take her to the top.

Donald Trump is deeply unpopular among every demographic except die hard Republicans. He has kept his base happy by insulting and offending everyone but his base. How many of those who voted for Trump the first time have become disillusioned with his leadership?
How many are tired of the corruption and the hatred he spews? How many right leaning voters will sit home rather than vote for 4 more years of this? And how many will vote for the Democrat because really, we all want change for the better and Warren is promising just that.

I really just can't see this race turning out any other way.





Good coffee, good weed, and time on my hands...