Originally Posted by Greger
I really just can't see this race turning out any other way.
At this point, I don't see the Democrats losing. But there is a full year to go with many unknowns between now and then. If Gallup is right, that six point advantage in party affiliation the Democrats held in 2016 has fallen to two. With Gallup's monthly reports it has been between 2-4 point advantage all through 2019. Even so, Trump and the Republicans can't win without winning independents.

The fact that Trump has continued to have a small lead among independent voters throughout this year when it comes to the generic presidential polls, does give him some hope.

But the presidential race is a state by state election. In this case the electoral college favors the Democrats. I don't think Trump can win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan again. He caught those state democrats off guard in 2016, perhaps thinking Hillary had them sown up. He won't do that again. Also Trump's approval in such states as Iowa, Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia has dropped at least 10 points giving the Democrats an excellent shot at them. The same for Florida.

You could be looking at a landslide, but then again. We know a majority of Americans don't like Trump, but that was the case in 2016 also. 60% of all Americans viewed Trump unfavorably, yet he won. Why, Hillary Clinton was viewed unfavorably by 56% of all Americans. The first time in our history or since Gallup and Pew Research started keeping track of these things that a major party's candidate was view unfavorably by over 50% of America. Goldwater back in 1964 held the previous record at 47%.

So how does your top three Democrats stack up in the unfavorable column vs. Trump? Today Trump comes in at 42% favorable, 53% unfavorable. Biden at 39/49 favorable/unfavorable, Sanders 43/45 favorable/unfavorable, Warren 40/42 favorable/unfavorable.

With a full year to go, those numbers don't mean much, but they do let you know where they stand today. Perhaps those numbers show you that I may be out of touch with America, I like Biden, would support him against Trump. I don't care for either Sanders or Warren and would vote third party against Trump. I won't be voting for Trump. It does seem I hold Biden in higher regard than most Americans and hold Sanders and Warren in lower regard. Such is life.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.