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2024 Election Forum
by Irked - 05/12/25 12:51 AM
Trump 2.0
by perotista - 04/30/25 08:48 PM
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Pooh-Bah
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Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
she absolutely believed whether she tried or not, the election was her's.

She read the same polls we did.
And then Comey announced that emails had been found on Mr. Dik Pix's computer two weeks before the election...


You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the old model obsolete.
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enthusiast
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I saw nothing in those polls that I would assume victory.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...eral_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

The polls predicted a 3 point win for Hillary in the popular vote, she won by 2. With a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points, the polls were right on as far as the popular vote goes.

The electoral college was different, RCP had it 203 Clinton, 164 Trump with the rest too close to call or predict.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html

Was she looking at the same polls we were or at internal polling which the public doesn't have access? She probably did the same thing as I did, due to the history of the states I automatically gave Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and Iowa to Hillary. Boy was I wrong about Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Iowa. I never seen those states coming.


It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.
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journeyman
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Originally Posted by perotista
could be two democrats, Jones Alabama and Manchin West Virginia where Trump approval is at 60% plus. Perhaps as many as 4-5 GOP senators, but you're right. It will be pretty much along party lines.


Jones and Manchin are republicans in all but name.

That was the 2% I was talking about.


What can we do to help you stop screaming?
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Originally Posted by Hamish Howl
Originally Posted by perotista
could be two democrats, Jones Alabama and Manchin West Virginia where Trump approval is at 60% plus. Perhaps as many as 4-5 GOP senators, but you're right. It will be pretty much along party lines.


Jones and Manchin are republicans in all but name.

That was the 2% I was talking about.

Hmm, DINO's huh? You just hit on my major problem. I'm so use to having Republicans dub so and so a RINO, not so much a Democrat as a DINO. I was taught way back when in civics class that those officials we elect are support represent the people who elected them. In other words, Representatives, the people of their districts, senators the people of their state. First and foremost I might add. It sounds like you don't like that. That you think our elected officials should only represent their political party and not the people. Toe the party line.

Manchin and Jones if they were to vote NAY on convict and remove, would be doing exactly what the people of West Virginia and Alabama want them to do. Representing the people of their state instead of the DNC or the Democratic Party. The same applies to Collins, Maine, Gardner Colorado, a couple of other Republicans, if they represent the people of their state instead of their party, they'll vote AYE to convict and remove. If they don't, they just representing the Republican Party and not the people.

I'll never be a political party animal. Not when I must show more loyalty to the party then to the people of my district, my state, America as a whole. There was a time when representatives and senators listen to the people, not anymore. It's the party leaders that call the shots, most heed exactly what the party leaders order, walk that line like a mindless robot bowing to the party leaders. Not caring about the wishes and wants of the folks in their district and state. Basically telling them to go to Hades in a hand basket.

No wonder we are so divided, so polarized today. Our elected official most just listen and obey party leaders. Not the folks they supposedly represent.


It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.
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Quote
they were to vote NAY on convict and remove, would be doing exactly what the people of ... want them to do.
huh????

A Senate trial is not representing a state regarding new legislation. They are jurors who represent the nation ... the whole of America ... in accordance with the Constitution. That any senator would rely on polling or what their constituency believes or wants them to do does not sound like those senators ever listened to the evidence.

I did not read the rest of your post as I now believe the Great Experiment is a failure. We should dissolve the union, break into the various states, and become 50 3rd rate countries. We deserve it.


ignorance is the enemy
without equality there is no liberty
America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions



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Going into the last 11 days of the campaign she had a 6-8 advantage despite all the reasons she "lost". So imagine if she had done everything right, she would have had a 12-15 point advantage, and yet, you again have ignored the Comey effect.

It was palpable long distance over the inet. I felt it and sensed dropping numbers as soon as Dir Comey finished talking.


ignorance is the enemy
without equality there is no liberty
America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions



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It's the Despair Quotient!
Carpal Tunnel
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It's the Despair Quotient!
Carpal Tunnel
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If the Senate vote to convict and remove could be held in secret, we wouldn't even be having this discussion, we'd be measuring the drapes in the Oval Office.


"The Best of the Leon Russell Festivals" DVD
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Carpal Tunnel
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Quote
It was palpable long distance over the inet. I felt it and sensed dropping numbers as soon as Dir Comey finished talking.


I remember that very moment.


Good coffee, good weed, and time on my hands...
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Pooh-Bah
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Quote
With Sanders energy he showed during 2016, I believe he would have beaten Trump by 10-15 million votes.

Yes, Sanders polled well in 2016, but that was only because the Republicans never said a word against him. They wanted him to win the nomination because he would have been so easy to defeat. Had he become the candidate, they would have gone into hysterical red-baiting mode. The fact that he self-labelled as a Socialist for so long would be on everybody's mind. Then a few weeks before the election, they would have dragged out some of his early writing in which he expressed some sympathy for teenagers convicted of sexual crimes. So they would add "PEDOPHILE" to "COMMUNIST" and by the election he would have been lucky to get 10% of the vote.

Personally, I love Bernie and I would be happy to live in the country he envisions. But candidates with a gigantic boat anchor chained around their necks don't win. All Hillary had in her past was that Republicans smeared her for 30 years. Bernie had real stuff.

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journeyman
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Originally Posted by perotista
Toe the party line.

If the other party is functionally insane, that is not an unsound philosophy.


What can we do to help you stop screaming?
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