As some of you know, I have been doing my own "Analysis/predictions" through the course of the COVID crisis. I have observed that the average progress of the infection rate has dropped from around a 25% rate in the early stages of the pandemic (March) to now, 2% growth - consistent over the last two weeks. My question, if someone with better analysis skills can enlighten me: could this be an artifact of just the sheer size of the spread to over a million cases? It may be that with the opening up of society this number could go back up, but I think what is going on is that we're reached a steady-state of the spread.
