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No NO
Sec Clinton was a terrible candidate for a gang of reasons all dutifully listed by Perotista ... all true and valid, which accounted for depressed polling numbers. Had she been a "good" candidate, she would have been some +20% favorite over Mr Trump. All of those reasons she was a poor candidate depressed her polling numbers, but still she had a sizeable national polling lead ... that is until Dir Comey re-opened the FBI investigation into emails, at which point her polling numbers plummeted. To analyze the reasons for her failure to win the election without any consideration of the FBI investigation as the most important reason she lost in the final days of the election is dereliction, much akin to Mr Trump not acknowledging the obvious, ergo perotista's analysis reminds me of what Mr Trump does and why reporters continue to ask question over and again ... acknowledge and move on ... too tough for Mr Trump, which I understand since he is a narcissist, but not so easy for me to understand of perotista, since I don't see him as a narcissist, ergo my confusion.
The question is, would she have lost had Dir Comey not re-opened the investigation???? Remember ... the entire campaign, to the last person, thought Mr Trump would not win as late as election day ...
ignorance is the enemy without equality there is no liberty America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions
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Perhaps this doesn't make the legal definition of a fix, but it the next best thing. right .... it does not nor is it the next best thing. The common phrase “the fix is in” means that the outcome of an event or process has been covertly manipulated to ensure a result that would otherwise be determined by chance or a fair test of some kind That many "establishment" type Democrats did not want Sen Sanders was well known publicly. There was no covert manipulation i.e. stuffing ballot boxes, disenfranchising voters, etc, and I am not sure how one overtly manipulates anything, unless you are Mr Trump. I quit the Democrat Party in 1972 because of party machinery and process.
ignorance is the enemy without equality there is no liberty America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions
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The question is, would she have lost had Dir Comey not re-opened the investigation???? Remember ... the entire campaign, to the last person, thought Mr Trump would not win as late as election day ... No, she wouldn't. Without the Comey letter she would have won. But without the Bernie or Bust crowd she would have won. Without the help from Putin for Trump she would have won. Without sexism she would have won. Without her idiotic failure to campaign in the Rust Belt states she would have won. Without her nincompoop of a campaign manager she would have won. Without the racism and xenophobia of Trump supporters she would have won. Without the disillusionment of the Rust Belt blue collar former Democrat workers she would have won. Without her unforced errors such as saying to Wall Street investors that she had one opinion for them, another for public consumption shw would have won. Without Wikileaks she would have won. Without the enthusiasm gap in her campaign vs. Trump's she would have won. And so on and so forth. When you lose by a grand total of 80,000 votes differential in three states (and remember, she needed to only flip 40,001 of those to win) ANY of the above factors is a decisive factor. Sure, we can say that Comey's letter was one of the biggest factors... but even WITH Comey's letter but without the Bernie or Bust crowd, she would have won. And so on and so forth. Only the confluence of ALL the above factors and whatever else I forgot to mention, gave Trump his victory. So each individual factor is decisive.
Please take COVID-19 seriously; don't panic but don't deny it; practice social distancing (stay 6ft from people); wash your hands a lot, don't touch your face, don't gather with too many people, so that you help us contain it.
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Perhaps this doesn't make the legal definition of a fix, but it the next best thing. right .... it does not nor is it the next best thing. The common phrase “the fix is in” means that the outcome of an event or process has been covertly manipulated to ensure a result that would otherwise be determined by chance or a fair test of some kind That many "establishment" type Democrats did not want Sen Sanders was well known publicly. There was no covert manipulation i.e. stuffing ballot boxes, disenfranchising voters, etc, and I am not sure how one overtly manipulates anything, unless you are Mr Trump. I quit the Democrat Party in 1972 because of party machinery and process. Exactly. Well said. Nothing was stolen from Sanders. There was no electoral fraud. There was simply a preference of a party for a candidate that had been an affiliate for decades, versus one who joined just to run and kept criticizing the party at all steps. What Bernie Sanders never understood is that you can't aspire to be the leader of a party, while shitting on the party at every opportunity. You reap what you sow. I find the DNC's preference for Hillary in 2016 and for Biden in 2020 perfectly legitimate, and perfectly within the normal and acceptable political process. Sanders should be grateful to the Democratic Party for allowing him to run twice, using their infrastructure and their ability to insert his name into all ballots in all 50 states + territories. And Sanders joined the Dems to run in 2016, then after he lost, dropped out and became "independent" again. Then joined the party again in 2020 (at which point I think the party should have simply denied him the registration) just to run. During his two opportunistic runs, he didn't stop bashing the party and its rules 100% of the time, and whining and complaining of the rules he was perfectly aware of when he signed on, and even, rules that he helped writing in 2020. Nobody put a gun to Sander's head and forced him to run with the Democratic Party. If he didn't like the DNC and the party elders, he was free to run as an independent. His attitude has always been divisive and whiny, then he is surprised that nobody likes him in the party (apparently he is a pariah in the Senate and has accomplished very little in his 40-50 years of political life; has a ridiculous low number of bills to his name (like, single digits, two of them being renaming some post office agencies)??? Join the party properly, stay in, pay his dues so to speak, engage in agreements and cooperation with the party elders, then run properly, upholding the party's rules, and I guarantee he wouldn't have faced as many contrary winds. Barack Obama came out of nowhere in 2008, ran against the Clinton machine, against the party's establishment, and won. He wasn't a whiner. He was a winner. If the DNC were as powerful as the whiny Bernie Bros. like to complain about, Barack Obama would not have won the 2008 nomination against the Clinton machine. Barack Obama = a winner. Bernie Sanders = a loser. The only reason his movement appeared at some point to be expressive enough (but still lost by 3.7 million popular votes) was because of the anti-Hillary vote. Cut to his own size, Bernie Sanders got a shellacking in 2020, inflicted on him by a very old and half-demented politician facing sexual assault accusations. The truth that no Bernie Brother wants to acknowledge is that Bernie Sanders is a loser and the American people don't want him to be president. Sanders at best in the 2020 primaries had 30% of the electorate in some states, more like 20% in others. That's among the Dem and Dem-leaning primary voting independents. Well, he isn't getting any votes from Republicans and Rep-leaning independents, which is the other half of the electorate. So, that 20% to 30% needs to be cut in half when we think of all Americans. Therefore, only 10 to 15% of Americans want Sanders as president. That's the real size of his movement. Bernie Brothers kept saying he was the candidate of the people. Huh, no. The people don't want him. The people wanted Hillary in 2016, and Biden in 2020. Sure, again, the people can make poor choices (the present occupant of the White House is a case-in-point) but that happens in democracies. From this, to say that Sanders is the candidate of the people and the nominations (2016, 2020) were stolen from him, are blatant lies and quasi-psychotic denial of reality. Such level of denial is typical of personality cults. I see these deluded Bernie or Bust crowd involved in a cult of personality as no better than the Trump cultists.
Last edited by GreatNewsTonight; 05/08/20 07:50 PM.
Please take COVID-19 seriously; don't panic but don't deny it; practice social distancing (stay 6ft from people); wash your hands a lot, don't touch your face, don't gather with too many people, so that you help us contain it.
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I suppose Obama letting it be known to the DNC and the Democratic State Party leaders that he wanted Hillary as their nominee in 2016 is normal politics. It was done quietly. It also kept a good many candidates from declaring their intentions to run for the presidency. I suppose it is normal politics when a sitting president lets everyone know who he wants to be the party nominee. Normal politics, in a way. A fix, that could fall into that category as most leaders will try to please the sitting president. No, it wasn't ballot stuffing. But it was at a minimum putting the strong arm on the party's leadership and the DNC.
It was beginning to look like more a coronation than a primary. Hence letting an independent who remained an independent to enter the fray without switching party labels. Webb and O'Malley weren't going to attract any voters. I don't think anyone realized Sanders would give such a good showing, an energetic one, a real attempt to win. Letting him run was just for show, so no one could say Hillary had been crowned.
So having a sitting president letting those in charge know he wants Hillary isn't really a fix. But his subordinates, the party leaders under Obama will try to please him. If you know your boss wants A, most will try to please him and give him A. Not all, but most. I think this really shows in the super delegates, Out of 712 super delegates, Sanders received 48 to Hillary's 664. Party loyalty, perhaps. But it probably had more to do with knowing Obama wanted Hillary, not Sanders. So let's please the boss.
Perhaps this doesn't make the legal definition of a fix, but it the next best thing. No, for me, it is the normal political process. A president is the leader of a ruling party, especially a beloved one like Barack Obama, so, he made his preference known, and people followed him. It has happened over and over and over and over and over and over in all democracies in the world (including ours). Only Bernie Bros. whine about it. Everywhere else, it's the normal political process. Politics is the game of power, influence, coalitions, endorsements, support, and the earning and spending of political capital. Barack earned a lot of political capital, and he spent it in making an indication of his preferred candidate. Why shouldn't he? There is nothing abnormal about it; and no, it's no fix. Then, you submit it to the voters. Well, the voters did pick her, with no trace of electoral fraud. The most that happened was some email exchanges between DNC operatives that never amounted to much. One low-level operative suggested by email that the Hillary campaign should use against Bernie the fact that he is a Jew. Hillary's campaign never accepted the suggestion. Donna Brazile fed Hillary a couple of CNN debate questions. Disgraceful but rather a big deal. From this, Bernie Bros. go to OH MY GOD THE SKY IS FALLING THE FIX IS IN THE NOMINATION WAS STOLEN FROM BERNIE!!! They should grow up and understand a bit more what Politics is about. Have you realized that she would have won the nomination anyway, WITHOUT a single superdelegate? She won 34 contests and beat Sanders by 3.7 million votes. She got more than what was needed in regular pledged delegates, no superdelegates needed. That is a FACT that Bernie Bros. like to ignore. They say the nomination was stolen from Sanders. No, it wasn't, because it was never his to start with. He never had the votes. For something to be stolen from you, you have to own it first. Hillary had the votes, and beat him. Sanders managed to lose to the second most rejected candidate in the history of presidential nominations (second only to Trump, and Hillary even managed to lose to Trump). Then in 2020 without the anti-Hillary vote, we saw what's the true dimension of the Sanders movement: small. Insufficient. Sanders without Hillary in the ballot went from 86% in his own state of Vermont to barely more than 50% (50.something). He lost badly in neighboring states, and even when he won, it was with a smaller total than in 2016, and it was inferior to the sum of the votes granted to his moderate opponents, and it wasn't a majority (except for Vermont, the tiniest of majorities). Elsewhere, Sanders' popular voting totals dropped dramatically from 2016 to 2020. There were states in which he had won ALL congressional districts in 2016, and then he lost ALL congressional districts in 2020, when he no longer had the anti-Hillary vote. Again, Bernie or Bust types are whining... but they couldn't even get their lazy behinds off the videogame couch to go vote, as the youth participation for Sanders in 2020 was smaller than in 2016. If you want a democratic voting revolution, you need to go vote. If you don't go vote, you need to shut up and stop complaining. Bernie Bros. think the fault of Bernie not being the nominee is the fault of everybody else (the DNC, the evil establishment, Wall Street, stupid and ignorant voters, etc., etc.) except the fault of themselves (who didn't even bother to come in and vote) and the fault of their non-charismatic, 2-trick pony (M4A, Wall Street), aloof, unrealistic (pies-in-the-sky) whining candidate whose policies were rejected by the vast majority of Dem and Dem-leaning primary popular voters. I'm not a Hillary Clinton fan. I did not vote for her in the 2008 primaries (voted for Obama). And I did vote for Bernie Sanders in the 2020 primaries (when my state early-voted before Super Tuesday, I didn't think Biden had a chance, so I voted for the candidate I thought had the best chance at beating Trump, and at the time I thought that that candidate by default was Bernie; now I know it wasn't, once he failed to stimulate any turnout on Super Tuesday; which Biden did). But I'm mature enough to move on when the candidate I prefer doesn't win. I then go to the next best thing or the lesser of two evils. Which is why even though I voted for Sanders in the primaries, I'll definitely vote for Biden in November. That Bernie or Bust people couldn't make this move is proof of political inexperience and naivete. Hillary Clinton's platform was a whooping 95% similar to Bernie Sanders', in 2016. Trump's platform was 0% similar to Bernie's. Still, spiteful because their candidate LOST (it wasn't stolen from him; he simply lost because he didn't have enough popular votes), they abandon the candidate with 95% of similar platform, who wouldn't have nominated Trump's 252 conservative federal judges and 2 justices, and go for the guy whose platform is 0% similar to their idol's. Smart! [NOT!] Bunch of spoiled brats. They got us Trump. There is a saying that every people have the president they deserve. I guess it applies to the Bernie or Bust crowd. It's unfortunate that the damage is not just to them, but to all of us. Again, sure, there were 10 or 15 other factors and I'm perfectly aware of them, and just as angry at the other 9 or 14 factors. But yes, Bernie or Bust people were one of the essential factors, as proven by the Newsweek article, and so, yes, they are to blame. I'm not mad at Bernie Sanders himself (better proof, I voted for him). He had the right to run. But once he lost (twice, now), people need to move on, and yes, I *am* angry at the whiny, spoiled, lazy, naive Bernie or Bust types who couldn't even bother voting in expressive numbers (videogames and smoking pot are more attractive than waiting 4 hours to vote in a precinct) and now say they won't vote against Trump in November. Well, again, they will get 4 more years of the president they deserve, who will happily crush all the dreams of their generation. Okay, you made your feeling felt, which is a good thing. I just put the laziness of Hillary ahead of sanders supporters. I also put her inept campaign ahead of Sanders supporters. There's no doubt Sanders supporters did have a hand in Hillary's defeat. I would also say Hillary's inability to attract independents was also ahead of Sanders supporters. Regardless of the above, I think more voters are seeing through Trump. I noticed the approval of his handling of the Corona Virus has dropped from a high of 51% down to 44% today. http://readerrant.capitolhillblue.c...90&what=showflat&fpart=7&q=1Putting his name on the checks doesn't seem to have helped at all. I also see where Trump overall Job approval which had climbed up to 48% has dropped to a more normal 44%. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.htmlI'd say things are looking pretty good for the Democrats. This from a swing voter with no party affiliation. One who voted against both Trump and Clinton and one if those two matched up today, would vote the same.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.
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No NO
Sec Clinton was a terrible candidate for a gang of reasons all dutifully listed by Perotista ... all true and valid, which accounted for depressed polling numbers. Had she been a "good" candidate, she would have been some +20% favorite over Mr Trump. All of those reasons she was a poor candidate depressed her polling numbers, but still she had a sizeable national polling lead ... that is until Dir Comey re-opened the FBI investigation into emails, at which point her polling numbers plummeted. To analyze the reasons for her failure to win the election without any consideration of the FBI investigation as the most important reason she lost in the final days of the election is dereliction, much akin to Mr Trump not acknowledging the obvious, ergo perotista's analysis reminds me of what Mr Trump does and why reporters continue to ask question over and again ... acknowledge and move on ... too tough for Mr Trump, which I understand since he is a narcissist, but not so easy for me to understand of perotista, since I don't see him as a narcissist, ergo my confusion.
The question is, would she have lost had Dir Comey not re-opened the investigation???? Remember ... the entire campaign, to the last person, thought Mr Trump would not win as late as election day ... I always thought the classified e-mails on an unclassified server was already baked into the equation. Clinton had a 7 point lead on 15 Oct 2016 which had narrowed to 5 when Comey reopened the case which continued to narrow to 3 points in the final RCP average of polls. She won the popular vote by 2 points. One can say the trend was going Trump's way before Comey and continued very slowly until election day. He was narrowing Hillary's lead before Comey. Although according to CNN exit polls those who made their decision in the last week of the campaign who they would vote for made up 13% of the total vote, 45% Trump, 42% Clinton, 13% other. So Trump continued his trend of narrowing Clinton's advantage, I don't think the numbers show a definite yes or no to the Comey question. I think we'll have to go with a maybe, maybe not answer. I do think that since 15 Oct Trump making twice as many campaign appearances, visits, holding rallies etc. more than Hillary probably had more to do with it than Comey, but that is just my opinion.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.
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The question is, would she have lost had Dir Comey not re-opened the investigation???? Remember ... the entire campaign, to the last person, thought Mr Trump would not win as late as election day ... No, she wouldn't. Without the Comey letter she would have won. But without the Bernie or Bust crowd she would have won. Without the help from Putin for Trump she would have won. Without sexism she would have won. Without her idiotic failure to campaign in the Rust Belt states she would have won. Without her nincompoop of a campaign manager she would have won. Without the racism and xenophobia of Trump supporters she would have won. Without the disillusionment of the Rust Belt blue collar former Democrat workers she would have won. Without her unforced errors such as saying to Wall Street investors that she had one opinion for them, another for public consumption shw would have won. Without Wikileaks she would have won. Without the enthusiasm gap in her campaign vs. Trump's she would have won. And so on and so forth. When you lose by a grand total of 80,000 votes differential in three states (and remember, she needed to only flip 40,001 of those to win) ANY of the above factors is a decisive factor. Sure, we can say that Comey's letter was one of the biggest factors... but even WITH Comey's letter but without the Bernie or Bust crowd, she would have won. And so on and so forth. Only the confluence of ALL the above factors and whatever else I forgot to mention, gave Trump his victory. So each individual factor is decisive. I like it. All of it is true. All had a place to play into the results. I always said everything had to go perfect for Trump to win. The earth, moon, sun, the planets and even galaxies had to align just perfect. Somehow they did. I put more emphasis on some of your reasons than others, but you're absolutely correct. All had to occur. And don't forget the 9 million of us who refused to choose between two candidates we saw as disgusting. I do think the Democrats and Hillary supporters overlooked big time the dislike out there for her. Although they were warned very early about that. She played right into that disliked by acting aloof, elitist, coming across as she knew what best for everyone, more than everyone themselves. In short, she had the personality of a wet mop. 2016, the obnoxious, uncouth, name calling spoiled brat vs. the wet mop.
Last edited by perotista; 05/09/20 12:10 AM.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.
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The thing is, we've lost the battle of containment / social distancing, and consequently we'll lose the war. https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/public-health-expert-on-coronavirus-223134882.htmlWhat will happen is, the virus will continue to spread to susceptible populations until it infects most Americans, and the initial catastrophic predictions, which seemed overblown once we started relatively efficient containment measures, will end up happening. Now I'm expecting 1 million deaths again, when it's all said and done, in two years. Could be half of that if we get a vaccine in 2021 and it works. https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/statistician-argues-covid-19-numbers-000246307.html
Last edited by GreatNewsTonight; 05/09/20 01:05 AM.
Please take COVID-19 seriously; don't panic but don't deny it; practice social distancing (stay 6ft from people); wash your hands a lot, don't touch your face, don't gather with too many people, so that you help us contain it.
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I do think that since 15 Oct Trump making twice as many campaign appearances, visits, holding rallies etc. more than Hillary probably had more to do with it than Comey, but that is just my opinion. Sure I get it. It would what I would say if I were a Republican partisan or a Trump supporter. I would look for ANY reason not to say anything about Comey's letter. The impact of Comey’s letter is comparatively easy to quantify, by contrast. At a maximum, it might have shifted the race by 3 or 4 percentage points toward Donald Trump, swinging Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Florida to him, perhaps along with North Carolina and Arizona. At a minimum, its impact might have been only a percentage point or so. Still, because Clinton lost Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by less than 1 point, the letter was probably enough to change the outcome of the Electoral College. His comment was prefaced by listing all the reasons you outlined and then saying the above. He got it. Clinton’s standing in the polls fell sharply. She’d led Trump by 5.9 percentage points in FiveThirtyEight’s popular vote projection at 12:01 a.m. on Oct. 28. A week later — after polls had time to fully reflect the letter — her lead had declined to 2.9 percentage points. That is to say, there was a shift of about 3 percentage points against Clinton. As soon as I saw the news I told my mom, that just cost Sec Clinton the election. The impact was too strong to ignore.
ignorance is the enemy without equality there is no liberty America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions
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the obnoxious, uncouth, name calling spoiled brat vs. the wet mop So you and the other 9M absentee voters would rather allow a country to be destroyed than elect a wet mop. Good to know. BTW .... he is not a brat. He is a narcissist, which means all of his behaviors are compelled by his personality disorder.
ignorance is the enemy without equality there is no liberty America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions
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