The latest scoop on the Republicans is that they plan on primaring out 10 house incumbents. Which could be counteracted by the Democrats doing the same. The difference is half of the GOP primaring out are in what is now safe districts. But that is the old district lines, not the new ones. So who knows?

There are twice as many incumbent democrats retiring at this point than Republicans. Winning an open seat whether through retirement or primaring out is much easier to switch than beating an incumbent.

This is where the Democrats have an advantage in the senate, 5 republicans are retiring, no democrats so far. The big two are Toomey PA and Burr NC which gives the Democrats an excellent chance at both of them. The other three, Portman, OH, Shelby AL and Blunt MO, should remain in GOP hands.

Now Greger got me thinking, no need to get up in the air over all these threats of primaring incumbents out. At least not until redistricting occurs. The threats of progressives against moderates and Trumpers again those who voted to impeach means nothing until the new district lines are drawn.

I got caught up in this knowing better. Nothing means anything until the new lines are drawn. Silly me on that.

This explains it better than I could. This is what I keep on eye on.

What All Those House Retirements Mean For Democrats So Far
Republican members are retiring too, but most hail from safe districts at this point.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-all-those-house-retirements-mean-for-democrats-so-far/

Last edited by perotista; 08/25/21 02:44 AM.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.