Intra-party battles this far out is meaningless as far as the 2022 midterms are concerned. Americans have very short memories. So too are approval and favorable ratings this far out. Too much time between now and Nov 2022 for any of this to have a meaning come the midterms. Although it's very interesting to talk about it. Remember, only twice has the party who held the presidency won seats in the house during a president's first midterm. 1934 and 2002. Influencing those midterms were the great depression and 9-11. Both events united this country behind FDR and Bush along with their party. In the 1934 midterm election the Democrats gained 93 seats. Presidential approval only goes back to Truman, so I have no idea what FDR's approval numbers were in 1934.
November presidential approval first midterm vs. gain and loses.
2022 Biden ???? Gain or loss ????
2018 Trump 39% lost 44 seats
2010 Obama 43% lost 63 seats
2002 G.W. Bush 63% gained 8 seats
1994 Bill Clinton 43% lost 54 seats
1990 G.H.W. Bush 54% lost 7 seats
1982 Reagan 43% lost 26 seats
1978 Carter 48% lost 15 seats
1970 Nixon 51% lost 12 seats
and so on. Even presidents with a positive approval rating, Nixon and G.H.W. Bush still lost seats in the house.
