You probably have to go back to Eisenhower and JFK when a majority of Americans believed and trusted their president. Here's a graft on public trust in government.
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/05/17/public-trust-in-government-1958-2021/I may be wrong in trying to equate believably with trust, but they do run hand in hand.What's amazing is over 70% of Democrats trusted IKE and over 70% of Republicans trusted JFK. You won't find that today,
As for the midterms of 2022, I'll not make any forecast on the house until redistricting is completed. I'd just remember that most Americans have short memories and nothing that happens in 2021 will probably effect the midterms of 2022. That's usually how it works. Senate wise, since no redistricting is needed, it still looks like a net gain of 1-3 seats for Dems. But as Greger stated earlier, no wave election is on the horizon. At least not yet for either party. Without a 9-11, some unforeseen event happening, I don't see the Democrats bucking the historical record of losing seats in the house. Only once since 1935 has the party who holds the presidency gained seats in the house during a president's first midterm, 2002 which the GOP gained 8.
First midterm loses by president
Biden ?????????????
Trump 44
Obama 63
G.W. Bush gained 8 seats, but lost 33 in his second midterm in 2006
Bill Clinton 54
G.H.W. Bush 8
Carter 15
Ford not elected, doesn't apply
Nixon 12
LBJ 47
JFK 4
IKE 18
Average loss 21 seats.
