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And yet Trump was an inveterate liar.... makes sh*t up out of whole cloth on the spur of the moment.

And they LOVE him for it.

Perhaps it's only Democrats who are required to function as if they are under oath at all times.

As promised from your numbers guy. I’m doing a weekly comparison of Biden’s approval ratings, pre-Afghanistan withdrawal vs. post Afghanistan withdrawal. What I’m looking for is a trend developing. 1 Aug numbers, pre-Afghanistan, 31 Aug numbers, end of Afghanistan withdrawal, 14 Sep numbers post Afghanistan.

Biden’s overall job approval/disapproval numbers:
1 Aug 51.3% approval, 45.9% disapproval/31 Aug 46.3% approval, 48.6% disapproval/14 Sep 45.2% approval, 49.7% disapproval.

Generic congressional vote
1 Aug Democrats 48% Republican 41% D plus 7/31 Aug Democrats 46% Republicans 44% D plus 2/14 Sep Democrats 42% Republicans 40% D plus 2.

Direction of the Country, right track/wrong track

1 Aug right track 40%, wrong track 53%/31 Aug right track 30%, wrong track 61%/14 Sep right track 30%/wrong track 61%.

Immigration 1 Aug 42% approve, 54% disapprove/31 Aug 34% approve, 57% disapprove/14 Sep 36% approve, 56% disapprove.

COVID 1 Aug 62% approve, 38% disapprove/31 Aug 53% approve, 43% disapprove/14 Sep 52% approve, 43% disapprove.

Economy 1 Aug 55% approve, 45% disapprove/31 Aug 46% approve, 49% disapprove/14 Sep 45% approve, 49% disapprove.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.html

Two weeks with basically no change after the withdrawal from Afghanistan. The only thing that stands out for me is those who answered the question, if the midterm election were held today, who would you vote for? The Democratic congressional candidate or the Republican congressional candidate? On both 1 Aug and again on 31 Aug there were only 10% of the electorate in the undecided column. As of 14 Sep, that has shot up to 18%. A lot more undecided and not sure than before.

With Trump holding a rally in Perry, GA yesterday, a thought crossed my mind. Trump made the headlines here.

I decided to go back through the generic congressional ballots or polls which go back through April 2021 and compare when Trump was in the news and when he wasn't. Sounds silly, I know. But I was curious.

What I found is when Trump is in the news, the Democratic congressional polling numbers rise, when he isn't, they fall. That may be a no brainier to most. But I see Trump staying out of the news the Democratic advantage shrinks to 3, then Trump makes headlines, the Democratic advantage rises to 6, Trump fades again, down to 2, now up to 4. I'll check back in a couple of days to see how his Perry rally affected the generic congressional poll numbers. This was just a whim on my part.

94-97% of democrats have answered the generic congressional poll that they will vote for their candidates, 92-96% of republican answered they would vote for their candidates. It was independents that do the fluctuation, that cause the rise and fall from 2-6 point Democratic advantage. When the Democratic advantage was but 2 points, independents by a 50-46 margin said they would vote for a Republican, when it was 6 points, it was 45-44 of independents responding they'd vote for the Democrat.

Perhaps the Trump effect is still alive. Not to the degree it was during Biden's first 6 months, but still there, lingering in some independent's minds. But slowly fading away. My take anyway.

Futlon County will finish Trump off.

• Criminal solicitation to commit election fraud
• Intentional interference with performance of election duties
• Conspiracy to commit election fraud
• Racketeering

As usual, Democrats have to clean-up the Republican mess.

I have two thoughts about Biden. The first is that he is overwhelmed by a very professional, large, and self serving bureaucracy. They are giving him advice and he is doing what they suggest. On the other hand I might be the opposite. They are giving him great advice and he is ignoring them. The talking heads of tv seem to think the first is what is happening. The FDA, for instance, is a really good example of a bureaucracy with problems.

At the risk of repeating. I believe that Biden is on my side. I wish, however, that he understood that he is president and presidents MUST have responsibility if they are to be believed and apologize when bad things happen whether he is actually responsible or not. In other words, the president is responsible for EVERYTHING that happens on his/her watch. Its not fair but its the way it is. These days Biden does a lot of dancing, often falling in the process, and I just wish he would stop it! What he has been doing is not terrible so much as a bit wrong and a bit offensive and it kinda guts any feeling of my president doing it right. He's gotta start standing up, smelling the roses, occasionally admit to error, and move ahead.

It was my understanding, when he took over, that he would be demonstrating competence. So far ............

As of 17 Sep 2021

Georgia criminal probe into Trump's attempts to overturn 2020 election quietly moves forward

https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/17/politics/georgia-probe-trump-election/index.html

This whole thing has been quiet since April. So we'll see.

I was more interest in my post on the Trump effect on elections, not the ongoing investigations into election interference.

I see that actor Matthew McConaughey is polling seven points higher than Abbott. McConaughey has not declared party affiliation, but he seems exactly middle of the road based upon what he has said in interviews.

I suspect he'll go "independent" and help Dem down-ballot office holders both re-elected and newly elected. He doesn't seem rightwing at all. Measured Liberal is more of what I gather.

Here you go.

Still undecided Matthew McConaughey polling better than Beto O'Rourke in the Texas governor race

https://www.chron.com/politics/article/texas-governor-race-abbott-beto-mcconaughey-16472881.php

then as an aside, my tiny Reform party has a candidate running also, Patrick Wynne, software engineer, data scientist and U.S. Navy veteran (Reform Party)

How did my post about McConaughey and Abbott get a McConaughey and Beto reply? Some people might suggest that is an intellectually dishonest move to distract from Abbott's poor polling.

Just thought you'd be interested in up to date information. My bag.