VA and NJ shouldn't be close. I do agree with you however. Murphy has a 13 point lead in NJ as democratic as that state is, that is totally expected. However, VA should be like NJ, double digits lead for McAuliffe.
I wonder what McAuliffe has done to peeved off independents? Or perhaps, it isn't McAuliffe, it's the present Democratic governor of VA that independents are peeved at. Call it the carryover effect. Or maybe independents weren't too happy with McAuliffe when he was governor the first time?
Then there's elections where it's just time for a change. Even Massachusetts elects a Republican Governor every once in awhile.
All this speculation is needless, McAuliffe will win. I was just really surprised to see the race this close when it shouldn't be.