As promised, just cold hard numbers.
1 Aug numbers, pre-Afghanistan, 31 Aug numbers, end of Afghanistan withdrawal, 30 Sep numbers post Afghanistan.
Biden’s overall job approval/disapproval numbers:
1 Aug 51.3% approval, 45.9% disapproval/31 Aug 46.3% approval, 48.6% disapproval/30 Sep 45.2% approval, 50.0% disapproval.
Generic congressional vote
1 Aug Democrats 48% Republican 41% D plus 7/31 Aug Democrats 46% Republicans 44% D plus 2/30 Sep Democrats 45% Republicans 42% D plus 3.
Direction of the Country, right track/wrong track
1 Aug right track 40%, wrong track 53%/31 Aug right track 30%, wrong track 61%/30 Sep right track 32%/wrong track 60%.
Immigration 1 Aug 42% approve, 54% disapprove/31 Aug 34% approve, 57% disapprove/30 Sep 34% approve, 58% disapprove.
COVID 1 Aug 62% approve, 38% disapprove/31 Aug 53% approve, 43% disapprove/30 Sep 52% approve, 45% disapprove.
Economy 1 Aug 55% approve, 45% disapprove/31 Aug 46% approve, 49% disapprove/30 Sep 45% approve, 50% disapprove.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.htmlAfter the bad August, one month after the Afghanistan withdrawal, basically no change since 30 Aug. The trend seems to be stagnation, Since the end of August. No improvement, no worsening.
Now this probably shouldn’t be surprising. Biden had a steady straight-line approval of 53% from inauguration day until July. Within a point or two of 53%. For the month of September, another straight-line of 46%, up or down one point. The cause is in my opinion today’s modern political era of polarization, the great divide and the super, mega, ultra-high partisanship. Democrats have constantly given Biden around a 95% approval, Republican around 5% give or take a point or two. That leaves independents to move the needle in today’s modern political era. Independents were giving Biden a 52% approval for his first six months, 43% for August and September. Hence the drop from 53% down to 46% overall or nationwide. Independents decide elections these days, it also seems independents also decide approval/disapproval ratings. How the two major parties vote, whether they approve or disapprove on elected officials and issues, policy is set in stone. Independents are now the wildcard and deciding factor.