While doing my morning walk, I was thinking about the anomaly of the Democrats still holding a 3-point advantage in the generic congressional ballot while Biden and the Democrats have dropped an average of 10 points in almost all issue related categories. Below water in all. Anti-Trump Republicans forming an organization to support Democratic congressional candidates could be some of the cause of this anomaly. Some I say, not all. Here it is again in case you missed it.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/anti-trump-republicans-back-vulnerable-115315092.htmlI realize when it comes to Trump traditional political conventional wisdom doesn’t apply. There is no historical context when it comes to Trump. 2016 and 2020 were so unique, they amplify that there is nothing conventional or traditional to place them in. Although 2018 was a normal election with normal historical norms and traditions. 2022 seems to be shaping up as another unique election with no historical context, norms or wisdoms.
2016 provided us with the two most disliked major party candidates in our history. Their 36% and 38% favorable set the records for the lowest ever while those two with a 56% and 60% unfavorable and unwanted to become our next president, they were the only two over 50% in this category. Not even Barry Goldwater in 1964 had that low or high in the like and dislike categories. His was 43% favorable, 47% unfavorable.
2020, unique in the fact the Republicans lost the presidency by 7 plus million votes, yet gained 13 house seats, 2 state legislatures and a governor. That just doesn’t happen. It did once, Grover Cleveland in 1884, but he won the presidency by just 56.000 votes and beat Blaine by just 00.6%. 6/10ths of a single percentage point. Not the 4.5% Biden won by.
I suppose one can only chalk all of this up to the Trump factor.
