If one looks at the 2020 election results more as a political strategist and not a partisan, one would find it was more a rejection of Trump than an endorsement or acceptance of Biden and Democratic Party ideals and their agenda. That is looking at the whole election result and not just the presidential. Trump lost by 7 plus million votes, yet down ballot, people voted Republican, not Democratic. The GOP picked up 13 house seats, 2 state legislatures and a Governorship. You had totally mixed results ballot wide. A ton of ticket splitters voting for Biden, then Republican for other offices. Hence my conclusion 2020 was a rejection of Trump, but no endorsement for either political party agenda.
You also had a six-month period, between inauguration day through July, until August where Biden and company maintained an overall approval rating of between 52-55% when Biden and the democratic congress didn’t try to do a thing. Just rode the benefit of Biden not being Trump. Now they’re trying to do things, a 10-point drop across the board on almost every issue category has occurred. Are they related, who knows? Whatever reason, it’s dissatisfaction with the party in power.
Maybe doing something will change that, maybe not. Or maybe on many issues a majority of Americans don’t agree with Biden and company. Or maybe folks have just realized Trump is gone, honeymoon over for the party in power. Not being Trump is no longer good enough. Your guess is as good as mine. I just follow the numbers, they tell me where people stand on the issues and the president, but they don’t tell me why.
Biden’s base, Democrats, their approval of Biden is at where it always has been. Around 92% give or take a point. Republicans at 8%, where it also always has been give or take a point or two. It’s independents which has dropped Biden’s approval down, they’re not happy with Biden or the Democratic controlled congress. From 55% in July, to 47% in August, to 43% in September to 37% today.
