Capitol Hill Blue Forums Political Issues Politics In General Gerrymandering

Go to bed Rick. Why are you up so early?

Some of us work and have to drive 30 mins to catch a ferry. I'm leaving in 2 mins, dad.

That's because your predictions are based on nothing but wishful thinking. The polls are not gauging the opinions of the dead. The living don't approve of Biden either.

Simply put...if one in three hundred or even one in ten dies, in most rural areas a Republican will still win the election.

Speaking of Gerrymandering, Oregon is done. One Republican drawn out of his district and the new district Oregon gained has been drawn to ensure a Democrat wins. So it's plus 2 in the Gerrymandering wars for the democrats.

Illinois, I think I reported on this state earlier. But to make it short on the proposed map now under consideration by the Illinois state legislature, it would another plus 2 seats for the democrats once the map is approved. So far, it's Democrats plus 4 or will be in the Gerrymandering war. But there are 38 states to go. So this is the first firing of the shot of the Gerrymandering war. Kind of like Ft. Sumpter, but a long way to go. Or kind of like a team scoring 2 runs in the first, 2 more in the second inning for a 4-0 lead. But with 7 more innings to go.

Now I go by numbers, not the heart. here's the latest any of us have to go by when it comes to who'll control the house.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/

But since that is nationwide and not district by district, I take it with a grain of salt.

This may have more of an effect than anyone or the numbers who died of COVID.

As Trump Thunders About Last Election, Republicans Worry About the Next One

https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-thunders-last-election-republicans-121100734.html

What does THAT mean? Oregan will never be Republican again? Awww...

That was actually brought-up on NPR this past Saturday. The pundants are saying that Joe Biden was voted in because he was NOT Donald Trump - not because of his plans for a new economy per the most recent Gallop poll.

Not at all.

It means Oregon is done with their gerrymandering for now.

Florida might turn blue again someday too. Neither of us should hold our breath until it happens though.

Well DUH! If they'd wanted a new economy they'da voted for Bernie.

They wanted America to be great again like it was under Obama so they elected Obam's VP...

They wanted politics to be boring again. And now the DEMS are trying to pass legislation!

70% of all Americans are against any new legislation.

70% may be high Greger, but I'd say you're right. 1994 is a great example as is 2010. Bill Clinton with his healthcare or his wife's healthcare task force, the raising of taxes which included raising the amount from 50% to 85% that the federal government can tax social security. Gun control legislation, an active congress that probably caused a 54 seat loss in the Nov 1994 midterm.

2010, you had the ACA. results, a 63 seat house loss. 55% of all Americans were against it then, so it was the wrong time to pass it. It hung around the democrats necks like an albatross all during Obama. Caused the loss of the senate in 2014 and perhaps even helped Trump defeat Clinton in 2016. It took Trump to make the ACA popular. It never was during Obama.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_and_democrats_health_care_plan-1130.html

I think it has to do with peoples comfort zones. They're very comfortable with the way things are and have been. They become use to living that way, they have their routine. New Legislation upsets all of that. Takes them out of their comfort zone, their routine, changes what they have become use to. Whether or not the new legislation helps them is irrelevant. The majority of Americans don't like change.

For six months, Biden and company didn't try to make a whole lot of changes or pass a lot of legislation. Biden and company flew high in his and their approval rating, between 52-55%/ Now you have this fight on new legislation going on, approval drops 10 points.

Yeah, medical bankruptcy was a wonderful thing. A great American tradition we almost lost there before Republicans made it possible again. Hooray!