You do have new numbers on NH senate.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...pshire-senate-sununu-vs-hassan-7334.htmlWhich tends to place NH into the lean Republican Category and a possible Republican pickup. GA remains in the lean Democratic column, Warnock has raised a ton of money, mostly from out of state which irks the heck out of me since they can't vote for the guy.
WI and PA still look like Democratic pickups, NC is a pure tossup, 50-50. So instead of 1-3 Democratic net gain for 2022, I'm going with 1-2. Nothing has changed in the House, still 7-15 net gain for the GOP even with Oregon's and Illinois's gerrymandering in favor of the Democrats, plus 4. 38 states to go on redistricting, plenty of time for the Republicans to do their gerrymandering to off set the current plus 4 Democratic gerrymandering advantage. Time will tell.
2024, I still can't wrap my mind around that yet. It probably depends on who the democrats nominate. The Democrats took the safe bet in 2020 with Biden. Will they be smart enough in 2024 to do the same especially if the GOP goes with Trump or DeSantis, a Trump clone. And yes, independents, swing voters are very fickle. A Harris/trump or Harris/DeSantis match up could result in another 2016. 9 million independents voted third party in 2016 whether than choose between Trump and Hillary Clinton. You could have twice that many in 2024 if those are the match ups. That's not counting how many just stayed home and said to heck with it.
Personally, I rooting for Tammy Duckworth. As a non-partisan, non-affiliated swing voter, if the match up for 2024 is between Trump and or DeSantis vs. Harris, I'd probably vote third party again as I did back in 2016. Tammy, I'd vote for.