Useless, perhaps. Back in Nov 2010 74% of all Americans said the country was on the wrong track, the democrats lost 63 house seats and 6 senate seats. Nov 2012, that number was reduced to 51%, Obama won reelection. That number shot back up in Nov 2014 to 67%, the democrats lost 10 senate seats along with control of the senate and 13 house seats. 60% of Americans said the country was headed in the wrong direction Nov 2016, Trump won the presidency., barely. A fluke perhaps. 65% of Americans thought the country was on the wrong track in Nov 2018, the Republicans lost 44 house seats and control of the house. In Nov 2020, a whopping 71% of Americans thought the country was way off track, Biden won the presidency.
It seems the 60% mark is when change occurs as to the country heading in the wrong direction. 61% today that think the country is off track is right on the borderline to massive changes or big loses for the party in power. Of course, this is Dec 2021, not Nov 2022. This is dynamic, only 49% of Americans thought the country was headed in the wrong direction last May 2021. Since then there has been a steady climb to the present 61%. Useless, perhaps, but the right or wrong direction is a good indication of how an election will turn out along with several other indicators.
Some indicators for the midterms, right track/wrong track, congressional party favorable/unfavorable, the generic congressional ballot, the sitting president’s overall approval rating along with a president’s approval/disapproval on his handling of the economy, party affiliation percentages and a few more.
