No doubt about most Americans have a short attention span or memory. Most are worried about today and don’t care about what happened in the past unless it affected them personally. Part of the problem with 1-6 is perhaps most people equate insurrection with armed insurrection. Nothing to back that up, just a thought that entered my head. No arms or weapons were used that I remember by the Trump crowd. Hence to some, perhaps by a slight majority of Americans, 1-6 gets classified as a riot along the lines of Portland and Minneapolis. Anyway, something that happened almost a year ago, has little staying power among most Americans. Short memory for sure.
I always said this notion that high voter turnout helping the Democrats was an old wife’s tales. Here’ the numbers to prove it. Voter suppression may indeed hurt the Republicans more than the Democrats.
Average voter turnout since 1960 in presidential elections 55%.
2020 62% high Biden winner
2016 55% average, Trump winner
2012 53% low, Obama winner
2008 57% high, Obama winner
2004 56% high, G.W. Bush winner
2000 51% low, G.W. Bush winner
1996 49% low, Bill Clinton winner
1992 55% average, Bill Clinton winner
1988 50% low, G.H.W. Bush winner
1984 53% low, Reagan winner
1980 53% low, Reagan winner
1976 53% low, Carter winner
1972 55% average Nixon winner
1968 61% high Nixon winner
1964 61% high LBJ winner
1960 63% high JFK winner
4 Democratic and 2 Republican winners when there was a high voter turnout. 4 Democratic and 3 Republican winners when the voter turnout was low or below average. 1 Democrat and 2 republican winners when the voter turnout was average. No difference, Now on to the midterms.
Midterm House elections. The average turnout for midterms is 40%
2018 50% high, Democrats gained 44 seats
2014 38% low, Republicans gained 8 seats
2010 42% high, Republicans gained 63 seats
2006 38% low, Democrats gained 33 seats
2002 40% average, Republicans gained 8 seats
1998 37% low, Democrats gained 3 seats
1994 42% high, Republicans gained 54 seats
1990 38% low, Democrats gained 7 seats
1986 38% low, democrats gained 5 seats
1982 43% high, democrats gained 27 seats
1978 39% low, Republicans gained 7 seats
1974 39% low, Democrats gained 39 seats
1970 48% high, Democrats gained 12 seats
1966 47% high, Republicans gained 47 seats
1962 46% high, republicans gained 4 seats
Still no correlation between high and low voter turnout benefiting one or the other party or which party wins the midterms. I see is when the house changed hands, control 1994, 2010 from Democratic to Republican and 2018, Republican to Democrat turnout was high. But in 2006 when the democrats took control of the house with a net gain of 33 seats, turnout was low. Be your own judge.
