Polling only shows what America is believing, feeling, thinking etc on that particular day. One may either like the results or not. I’m actually surprise with the very low approval numbers Biden has, with the very low favorable numbers of the Democratic controlled congress has, with as many people who believe this country is headed in the wrong direction today, that the Democrats are holding their own. Past history shows that shouldn’t be. Hence my conclusion there is something else in play here that I can’t get my hands on or my mind around. That might be the Trump factor, or it might not.
The economy has been the top issue for 9 out of the last 10 elections. I don’t see that changing this time around. That’s just the way it is. In today’s modern political era, a relatively new political era, you have a third of the nation going to vote Republican, a third going to vote democratic, basically because of today’s polarization and party loyalty. Then a third who the heck knows how they’ll vote. It’s the economy that plays most with this latter third. Most of this latter third fall into the swing voter category, independents who aren’t political junkies and who don’t pay much if any attention to politics until an election nears. It’s simple, if they’re doing better today or on election day than they were last election, they’ll vote for the party in power. If they’re worst off, they vote for the party out of power. It’s been this way going back to Hoover vs. FDR.
