Jgw, I think you’re right on. According to Gallup, independents make up 42% of the electorate. They have little to no political ideology and no loyalty to either major party. Perhaps this article can explain a lot. The title: America Depends on the Mushy Middle.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/a...;mc_cid=16a30bce43&mc_eid=3b85baf05aAmong many items in the article is that they explain why this mushy middle can vote for Obama twice and then for Trump. There’s much more in it. It’s a short read, but full of information.
I would add my own observation. So far, the Democrats are holding their own when they shouldn’t be. Considering Biden overall approval is at 40%, the Democratic controlled congress approval is below 30%, well over 60% of all Americans view this country is headed in the wrong direction or on the wrong track. These numbers should be showing a huge red wave in November. But when one goes district by district in the house, as of today you’re looking at a 7-10 seat GOP gain. Not 30-50 seats one would expect with approval numbers as low as Biden’s and the Democratic controlled congress are along with the wrong track numbers. The same in the senate, the democrats might pick up a seat or two, but going by the above approval numbers, the Democrats should be losing 5-8 seats. What’s going on? What ever it is, it has me stumped.
There’s nothing in history that shows these bad numbers, approval, wrong track etc. and yet minimum or no loses. Then again, there was nothing in history that showed a candidate winning the presidency by 7 million plus votes and losing 13 house seats along with 2 state legislatures and a governorship either. These things don’t happen. Never have. That is until 2020 and today. Perhaps history doesn’t apply anymore in today’s modern political era of polarization, the great divide and the super, mega, ultra-high partisanship.
Regardless of the reason/s, I think you’re correct.
