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There isn't a single possible scenario where this works out in a positive way for Russia.
Heavy weaponry is now flooding into Ukraine. It's only a matter of time before Putin calls it a war with NATO and launches nuclear missiles. Or doesn't.
It's one of those "fullness of time" things that we don't have to wait too long for. If we're having a nuclear holocaust in the next few weeks it's gonna cancel out most of the other "fullness of time" things.
I expect the first volley to be limited and tactical with only a few millions of lives lost.
And I don't think there will be a second volley.
Perhaps we'll see some important changes after that. Or perhaps not, if there is a second volley.