Two things this bright, beautiful AM. I pour over numbers everyday rick. That’s what I do. I let the numbers talk to me, listen to what they say and usually get what they are talking about. Some I like, some I don’t, most I’m irrelevant to. I whole heartily agree, the ruling isn’t out yet, no need to get riled up, yet. But it’s fun watching folks who do.
Pondering, I’ve seen a whole lot of protests, in front of elected official’s homes, bothering them when they go take their families to eat, even some riots that occur. In the long run, those haven’t affected how people vote, they may have even provoked some sympathy for those being protested against, definitely against the rioters. The civil rights protests worked because they were peaceful, they were peaceful marches and rallies. Then there were the actions taken against them like Bull Conner’s, dogs, water cannons, bully clubs, against the helpless all on TV. It was clear to everyone who was in the wrong, who was breaking the peace, who was causing the violence. It wasn’t those who favored civil rights, it was those against civil rights and equality. Violence was caused by those against, not for. Rosa Parks bus boycott worked because it was peaceful. No riots or violence involved by the boycotters.
BLM and Defund the police failed because folks seen them as rioters, seen them as the cause of violence in Minneapolis, Portland, Seattle and other places. They didn’t change anyone’s vote for them but caused some to vote against them. You had a president win by 7 plus million votes, you also had many of those who voted for Biden to get rid of Trump voting against Democrats who embraced BLM and Defund the police to a tune of the Democrats losing 13 house seats, a governor and 2 state legislatures down ballot. Most people don’t like violence regardless of the cause, they don’t like what seems in your face protests at an elected official home or harassing them in during lunch or dinner. This kind of activity hurts the cause they’re trying to promote especially among those who aren’t hard core ideologues one way or the other. The ideologue vote is already baked in. It’s those who are quasi for that isn’t. It’s the group that believe abortion should be legal in only the case of incest, rape or the mother’s life is in danger. I don’t think they’re about to leap on the abortion bandwagon or change how they’ll vote regardless of how the SCOTUS rules on Roe. These folks count as being for abortion, but by how much? They want abortion illegal in all other cases. This group make up 29% of all Americans. That’s almost a third of America.
You look at the total percentage who say they’re in favor of keeping Roe, 65% in some polls, higher in others, as high as 80% in one. My advice is to go deeper. 54% believe abortion should be banned after the first trimester. 29% abortion allowed only in the case of case of incest, rape and mother’s life in danger, banned or illegal in all other cases. Be careful here, it will be very easy to overplay one’s hand.
I read this AM where Schumer is going to pass a law to keep abortion legal. So how do you keep everyone happy? From legal only in the case of incest, rape and the danger to a mother’s life to abortions right up to the day of birth and all those in-between. Where will be the cut off? Will those who favor a total ban on abortion after such and such a time frame, will they oppose it because to them Schumer’s law is taking abortion too far. Just something to think about.
