Rick, you’re trying to read too much into a midterm election. The out of power party doesn’t have to stand for anything be that out of party is the Republicans or the Democrats. They’re there as an alternative to the party in power. It’s a simple matter whether the voters are angry at, mad at, dissatisfied with the party in power or are they satisfied and happy with them and the way things are going. The midterms aren’t a presidential election where issues are debated along with personality and other things. Midterms is more about one’s quality of life, one’s standard of living. Is it getting better or worse? There’s 435 house election, I would wager more than half of all voters don’t even know the name of their congressman. I would add, the more people you get to the polls, the less informed they are.
I was looking at the preferred outcome of the midterms this bright, beautiful AM. Since I know how Republicans and Democrats will vote, I focused on independents. This is the preferred outcome of the midterms by independents only.
Control of the senate, 29% Democratic control, 35% Republican control, 16% evenly divided, 20% no preference.
Control of the House, 27% Democratic control, 36% Republican control, 16% evenly divided, 21% no preference.
Questions 127 and 129
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/o1zu29c4cp/econTabReport.pdfThis was conducted 8-10 May 2022. 7-10 days after the leaked abortion draft of the SCOTUS. 67% of independents say the economy, inflation is very important to them, 41% state abortion is very important to them in deciding who they’ll vote for in the midterms. The economy, inflation is ranked 1st as the most important issue among independents, abortion or Roe is ranked 8th on their list of most important issues. Go to question 132 and you can see the break down by party. Republicans and democrats vary quite a lot on the most important issues to them.
