I think by the general election, the GOP will be split between MAGA folks who stay home because their guy lost the primary, and old-school Republicans who can't stomach the big lie as told by the MAGA candidate who did win the primary. Trump is NOT helping the Party. Loyalty to Trump is all that counts. Just look at Perdue and Kemp. Good news for Abrams!

I think we will see this in many races. That's why I think the outcome of the House general elections will be very much not "business as usual". You also need to factor in the million people who died from Covid. A lot of them were elderly, and used to be a reliable Republican voting block:
People In Counties That Backed Trump Were Twice As Likely To Die

Then we might also have some Republican congressmen who are under indictment for their criminal actions re the January 6th insurrection.

Then there's this:
Trump Fears Wrath of 'Suburban Women' Over Roe Loss

That's Trump worrying about his 2024 chances if Roe is overturned, but it applies to the midterms as well.

I wonder what Justice Thomas will do when his wife gets indicted?

Last edited by pondering_it_all; 05/22/22 10:42 AM.
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