Originally Posted by pdx rick
New poll: 54% of Americans disapprove of Supreme Court following Roe draft opinion leak

I agree with the above majority.

Having stated the above, I do hope the SCOTUS follows exactly the leaked draft so that states will be free to restrict abortions in order that women and those who care about freedom over one's body punishes conservatives/GOP'ers in November 2022...severely ...in those six to nine "toss up" states. smile
Rick, I think that a dream. There’s been no significant movement in the generic congressional ballot since the leaked abortion draft on 1 May other than the normal ups and downs of polling. I have concluded that abortion is already baked into the equation. Those who make abortion a hot issue, those who will decide how they will vote based on abortion have already moved into either the Republican or the Democratic ranks since ROE was decided some 50 years ago. Inflation, rising prices remains the number one, the most important issue in deciding how one will vote this November.

2 May 2022 Generic congressional ballot, RCP averages 46.5-42.5, Republican, 538 averages 45.2-42.8 Republican
26 May 2022 Generic congressional ballot, RCP averages 46.3-44.1 Republican, 538 averages 45.1-42.7 Republican

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/

As for the 5 tossup states in the senate, they were tossups on 1 May and are still tossups on 26 May. 3 belong to the Democrats, Arizona, Nevada and Georgia. 2 to the Republicans Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. D held New Hampshire is still lean Democratic while the R held North Carolina has changed from lean to likely Republican since the candidates where chosen in their respective primaries. R Budd has a 7.5-point lead over D Beasley in NC. All other states are considered safe or solid for the party that now holds them.

I’ll add this, the leaked draft wasn’t official. The official ruling once released may have a greater impact or not since everyone knows which way the SCOTUS is leaning. If the SCOTUS limits its ruling to the Mississippi lawsuit as it should, then all this ruckus, rants and raves will be much ado about nothing. If the SCOTUS does overturn ROE, that impact will be much less than it would have had without the leak. Many are expecting the overturning of ROE. The bottom line in my estimation is the overturning of ROE if it happens, won’t prevent the loss of the house. I’m not sure if it would have any effect on the tossup states in the senate. But it wouldn’t have to have a large effect, a minor one could make the difference as those tossup states are as close as close can be.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.