If ROE is overturned, that just throws abortion back to the states. 21 states and D.C. have state laws protecting abortion. Nothing would change in those states as to abortion access. As suspected, most are blue states controlled by democrats. Population wise, it relatively even between the number of folks who live in protected states and non-protected states. So if ROE is overturned, it won't effect half of the population.

https://kdvr.com/news/data/which-states-legally-protect-abortion/

13 states have so called trigger laws that would go into effect if ROE is overturned. There are another 5 states or so that would extremely limit abortions. Detail below.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/05/03/us/state-abortion-trigger-laws-roe-v-wade-overturned/index.html

Overturning ROE if that does happen, the SCOTUS said they would have their official ruling on the Mississippi case either late June or early July. I don’t see it influencing this year’s midterms. The 13 states with trigger laws on the books are solid red states. I do see a good chance of a bunch of protests and even some riots over the SCOTUS ruling if they do overturn ROE. But those will probably mostly take place in the blue states with laws protecting abortion. It’s blue state Democrats mostly riled up about the possibility of ROE being overturned which won’t affect them.

I hesitate to make any long-term predictions on the effect of overturning ROE in the rest of the states. Outside of that we’ll probably see women who want an abortion travel to a state where abortion is legal. I think what most pro-abortion or pro-ROE democrats don’t realize is most Republican women are pro-life. That Democrats automatically assume all women are pro-choice which is totally wrong. For 2024 I’d keep an eye on the 8 or so swing states. I think who the candidates are, who is nominated by both major parties will have a greater impact on the presidential election than the abortion issue. 2024 will be decided by independents, not pro-choice democrats or pro-life republicans. Time will tell.


It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.