Capitol Hill Blue Forums Political Issues Campaign 2020 U.S. House Select Committee on the J6 Attack

THAT's exactly something Trump would do, too.

Greger, on being unelected, here in Georgia two more Trump endorsed candidates bit the dust Tuesday. Trump is 1 for 5, his only win was with Walker. Kemp and Raffensperger both won earlier, now two non-Trump endorsed Republicans won their congressional Republican primary runoff over two Trump endorsed candidates. The non-Trumpers won by large margins.

Trump-Endorsed Candidates Can’t Stop Losing Primaries

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/trump-endorsed-candidates-t-stop-142514459.html

But as I stated earlier, I think Georgia is unique. A lot of state Republicans are still peeved at Trump as they see him responsible for Georgia losing its two senate seats in the January 2021 runoffs. It’s probably a good thing for the Democrats and for Warnock to keep his seat that Walker won. Former Secretary of Agriculture Gary Black would have been a much more formable candidate than Walker. My opinion anyway.

Trump has stated previously he’d rather have Democrat Abrams as governor than Republican Kemp. Speculation is abounds that Trump will tell his Trumper followers to stay home in November. There’s a lot of republicans who would silently cheer here in Georgia if Trump is charged and jailed. But they won’t say that out loud. They know they need Trumpers to come out and vote or they lose.

Senator Mo Brooks (R-MO), Trump ass kisser and Trump "Big Lie" spreader, wearer of a tactical vest on J6 (...because why not? It's just a bunch of tourists), says he'll talk to the J6 committee, BUT they have to provide the dirt they have on him first.

LOL!!!!!!!!

Treasonist Republicans think they get to dictate how the questioning goes down. Hilarious!

Mo Brooks was a congressman from Alabama, not a senator from Missouri. Brooks ran for Alabama’s senate seat, Richard Shelby retired. Here’s what I think you’re talking about Rick.

“Mo Brooks says the 'bad guys won' after losing his Senate primary and says Trump won't do anything unless it 'enhances his wallet or his ego'”

https://news.yahoo.com/mo-brooks-says-bad-guys-014124562.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall

No...

THIS is what my post is about: There is a link right in the post to support what my post is stating. It's the blue font.

Nearly all of my posts have a link in them that is part of the wording of the post to validate the assertion of the post. That's just my posting style. I don't know why I bother to post links if no one clicks them and reads them.

Part I
Two weeks have passed since the primetime broadcast of the 1-6 hearings. So far, little change on who folks plan on voting for in November. Although those who want Trump prosecuted may have jumped from 4 in 10 Americans to 6 in 10, it wasn’t important enough for most Americans to have an affect or to change who they planned on voting for in November. Inflation, rising prices still tops all other issues by 15 points as the top issue which folks will determine who they vote for in the midterms.

8 June 2022 Generic congressional ballot, RCP averages 46.5-42.5, Republican, 538 averages 45.2-42.8 Republican

16 June 2022 Generic congressional ballot, RCP averages 46.3-42.8, Republican, 538 averages 44.9-42.3 Republican

23 June 2022 Generic congressional ballot, RCP averages 44.3-41.5, Republican, 538 averages 44.8-42.5 Republican

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/

Difference RCP Republican lead dropped from 3.0 points down to 2.8, 538 Republican lead dropped from 2.4 points down to 2.3. This I attribute to the normal fluctuations of polling over a 2-week period, not the primetime 1-6 hearings.

The President’s overall job performance numbers.

8 June 2022 Biden’s overall job performance, 40.7% approve, 54.0% disapprove

16 June 2022 Biden’s overall job performance, 38.9% approve, 54.4% disapprove

23 June 2022 Biden’s overall job performance, 39.6% approve, 55.8% disapprove

Biden’s approval dropped -0.9 or 9 tenths of a point; his disapproval rose +1.8 points since primetime.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.html

Most important to the midterms is the number of competitive, switchable, at risk house seats and the senate’s pure tossup states beginning 8 June 2022.

8 June – House 39 Democratic seats, 13 Republican seats fell into the at-risk category. A probable gain of 18-20 seats for the Republicans. Senate – 5 pure tossups, 3 democratic held seats, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, 2 Republican held seats, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. 1 lean Democratic seat, Democratic held New Hampshire, 1 lean Republican seat, Republican held North Carolina.

16 June – House 40 Democratic seats, 13 Republican seats fell into the at-risk category. A probable gain of 18-20 seats for the Republicans. Senate – 5 pure tossups, 3 democratic held seats, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, 2 Republican held seats, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. 1 lean Democratic seat, Democratic held New Hampshire, 1 lean Republican seat, Republican held North Carolina.

23 June – House 40 Democratic seats, 13 Republican seats fell into the at-risk category. A probable gain of 18-20 seats for the Republicans. Senate – 4 pure tossups, 2 democratic held seats, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, 1 Republican held seats, Wisconsin. 2 lean Democratic seat2, Democratic held New Hampshire and Republican held Pennsylvania, 1 lean Republican seat, Republican held North Carolina.

Change from 8 June House seats +1 for the Democrats in the at risk, switchable, competitive seat column, up from 39 to 40. Republicans remain the same at 13. The senate, R held Pennsylvania moves from pure toss up to lean Democratic. The change in Pennsylvania I attribute to the poor choices for the General Election by the Republicans, not the 1-6 primetime hearings.

Part II

Although the leaked abortion draft didn’t change anyone’s voting preference, the mass school shootings in Buffalo and Texas didn’t either and the 1-6 primetime hearings hasn’t so far. But what if the real thing happens? What if the SCOTUS does overturn Roe, that’s much more serious than a leaked draft? What if Trump is charged and forced to stand trial? That would hit home much more than just a primetime hearing which mostly anti-Trumpers watched. I think either one or both has the potential to move the needle for the midterms. We don’t know how much though. My thought on this is overturning Roe probably wouldn’t move the needle much, it would some, but not much as abortion, Roe is already baked in. But placing Trump on trial, now that could have the makings of a game changer. But in what direction? Independents are hesitant on voting for Trump backed candidates. That has placed a limiting factor on the possible gains the Republicans will make this November. But with Trump on trial, maybe in jail, there’re two ways that could go. 1. It reinforces the limiting factor, the dislike of Trump which flows over to Republican candidates by independents which may prevent the loss of congress this fall. 2. It could go the other way, eliminating the hesitant factor, the limiting factor now that Trump is in jail letting independents to go whole hog Republicans with no worry about Trump. A red wave election.

I have no idea which way it would go, but it would sure make for an interesting election which has been boring since January.

It's been a good 24 hours for America.

News broke on Wednesday that Merrick Garland’s DOJ had subpoenaed a few fake electors and at least one Trump official. By late Wednesday night, the news surfaced that the DOJ had also seized the cellphone of the Nevada Republican Party state chair. But it turns out that was still just a small fraction of the story.

By Thursday morning the news had broken that the DOJ also carried out a search warrant at the home of Trump DOJ official Jeffrey Clark on Wednesday - a sign that the DOJ’s fake elector probe is in an advanced stage. And now the news has broken that the DOJ has also subpoenaed infamous Arizona Republican Party state chair Kelli Ward.

#LockThemUp
#LockThemAllUp

You’re first picture hits the nail on the head Jeffrey. You have Democrats who will vote Democratic and Republicans who will vote Republican only because that is the party they belong to, affiliate with, identify with. Who the candidate are, the countries and their own situation, good or bad, you name it, that doesn’t matter. Only the R and or the D matters. Then you have swing voters, independents who don’t pay much if any attention to politics. They’re too busy leading their own lives and trying to make ends meet, taking care of family, watching their favorite TV programs and sports. Living their own life like politics doesn’t exist until an election nears. They’re not political junkies like those on this site or the other one. Most don’t care who their congressman is, most probably can’t name him or who their senators are. But they know who’s president and most important, they know if their personal situation is better or worse than a year or two ago.

Probably 75-80% of these swing voters, independents lean toward one party or the other and will vote roughly 75% of the time for the party they lean toward. The rest, who knows how they’ll vote. They’re finicky and all over the place. They’re the ones who will vote their personal situation, if their situation is good or getting better, they vote for the party in power. If their personal situation is bad or getting worse, they vote for the party out of power. Your first little girl is accurate. A lot of these folks are just trying to put food on the table for the family which has become very expensive to them or trying to afford gas to put into their car so they can go to work. Many have cut back on other necessities in order to afford gas, food, etc. You can’t expect them to worry about 1-6 or place 1-6 at the top of their voting list of priorities. It’s inflation and trying to make it through today to see tomorrow. They have other priorities than to care about something that happen more than a year and a half ago, especially during bad economic times.

Oh, I would wager most of these swing voters, the 20% of don’t lean toward one or the other party, they probably don’t even know what kind of economic system we live under. They’re not rejecting embracing anything. Just voting their own personal situation. Yesterday is gone, no longer relevant, today is important, tomorrow, they cross that bridge when and if it comes. Today is happening now, yesterday is past, tomorrow hasn’t come yet. Everything revolves around today, today counts, it’s today we’re living in, not the past or the future.