This is interesting, from a left leaning web site, the Daily Beast.
Will Raging Liberals Cause an Anti-Democrat Backlash?
https://www.yahoo.com/news/raging-liberals-cause-anti-democrat-080102953.htmlIn other words, the Democrats could blow the advantage given them for these midterms by the SCOTUS overturning ROE. Will they? Time will tell.
I also have two polls from Democratic leaning polling firms since the overturning of ROE. One is the NPR/PBS/Marist polls which shows the Democrats leading in the generic congressional ballot by 7 points. But this same polling firm in a pre-SCOTUS overturning of ROE had the Democrats ahead by 5. The other was the Morning Consult/Politico poll, they have the Democrats up by 3, but in their pre-ROE poll, Morning Consult/Political had it even.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/The thing to keep in mind is the average of all polls had the Republicans up by 2.3 points on 23 June, pre-Roe overturning, which you can see in the link above. There’s not enough data to draw any conclusions on this at this early time. But I would say, signs are that there is a slight movement toward the Democrats. Will it last? Again, only time will provide the answer.
The big question in all of this, will abortion or the overturning of ROE supersede inflation, rising prices in the minds of independents as the top issue they will decide who to vote for in November? We’ll have to wait and see. Pre-ROE overturning, independents ranked inflation as their top issue in determining their vote this November at 23%, abortion was at 4% among independents. This gives you numbers to watch.