Yes, at least from January until today, not much has changed. The Republicans seemed almost certain to retake the House in January and the same holds true today. The change has been from 8-10 seat GOP gain in January to 18-20 seats today. But with a president who has an extra-low approval of 39%, that loss would be less than half of what history tells us to expect. 48.5 is the average house seat loss with a president whose approval is around 40%. That to me spells victory for the democrats. Perhaps only a moral victory, but it could and still can be much worse.

The senate has always been 50-50 as to who controls it. Which historical average is a loss of 6 seats for a president with his overall approval around 40%. Today actually looks a bit better for the senate than in January. PA should be a gain for the Democrats, WI is 50-50 for another possible gain. Georgia looks today as remaining in democratic hands as does Nevada and Arizona. A 51-49 edge for the Dems looks like the likely outcome today. A far cry for a 6-seat loss. Of course, plenty of time for all of this to change. We don’t know Johnson’s nor Kelly’s opponent. Laxaut in Nevada won’t be easy for Cortez-Masto to beat. Nevada may rest on the Hispanic vote which the Republican Party has made inroads on.

The limiting factor in my opinion has been Trump. Many independents who would be on the GOP bandwagon today are very hesitant to vote for Trump backed/endorsed candidates. My big question is, if Trump is charged and placed on trial will that hesitancy abate as indies figure Trump is no longer a factor or will independents be so turned off by Trump, they begin moving toward the Dems? Who knows?

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.