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This might make a couple of you really mad!

No, Rick, I'd be delighted if the Dems held the house! I'd be delighted if Trump was locked up for the rest of his life, too!

I just don't think either is going to happen so I don't fantasize about them.

Pero has pointed out many times what the axioms to the 2022 election equation are and his prediction for the outcome.

I think Dems might beat the odds and perform better than Pero suggests, but still not well enough to keep the House. I base this solely on events that have not happened but might.

If Biden's numbers go up House-seat losses will come down. But right now, if the election were held today...Pero's prediction is probably dead on.

It's not what any of us wants but it's the most realistic election forecast your gonna find anywhere.

Good coffee, good weed, and time on my hands...