A better and more up to date example. RCP has the generic congressional ballot as a tie.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html

Looking at this using the MOE, the Republicans may be ahead by 3 or down by 3. Another thing to look for is who was polled. The poll with give you an A for all Adults, a RV for registered voters and an LV for likely voters. When it comes to elections, always give priority or more trust to the polls who poll LV or likely voters. Registered voters are more accurate than polls that poll all adults. Of the 8 polls RCP shows, 4 were of likely voters and 4 of registered voters. More registered voters will stay home and not vote than likely voters.

A word of advice, for elections pay much more attention to polls that poll likely voters. For opinions on the issues such as abortion for example, then all adults will be more accurate. Although all adults won’t go vote. But all adults lets you know how people feel about an issue although only about half will go vote.


It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.