The house numbers, I doubt will change much basically because of the difference in retirements and house incumbents running for higher office. As of August 2022, 50 representatives, 31 Democrats and 19 Republicans have decided to retire, 18 of whom (ten Democrats and eight Republicans) are seeking another office. Which means the democrats must defend 31 open seats with no incumbents vs. 19 for the Republicans. Open seats are much easier to switch or flip.

While the Democrats have closed a 2.5-point advantage in the generic congressional ballot in July to take a 0.2-point lead on 17 Aug, the GOP has now regained the lead. Although it’s is a very slight 0.2 points. What hasn’t changed is the number of safe and at risk, switchable seats even though the generic congressional ballot has fluctuated. They remain the same as in July, 42 Democratic competitive, at risk, switchable seats to the Republicans 14. Safe seats are 179 Democratic, 200 Republican. Leaving the probable net gain for the Republicans at 18-20 seats. Which would give the GOP control of the house with the majority over the Democrats somewhere between 232-203 to 234-201.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html

It could have been much worse if the democrats hadn’t won the gerrymandering wars. The drop in the price of a gallon of gas probably was the main reason for the Democrats being able to take the lead in the generic. But the generic is a nationwide figure, not district by district. It means little to nothing if in places like New York, New Jersey, Illinois, California etc. the democrats upped from winning percentages in districts from 60-40 to 65-35 in those heavily democratic states. The national numbers would reflect a trend toward the democrats, which district by district wouldn’t, they remain the same.

I think the senate is the most important chamber to retain. Biden then can still have all his nominations confirmed even though no legislation will get done. Add the governorships, all in all, it is a very good midterm if these numbers hold up for the Democrats. I’d classify that as a major Democratic victory.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.