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JGW, the democrats have narrowed independents who state they plan on voting for republican congressional candidates down to 42-39 from a month ago when the Republicans had a 10 point lead over Democratic congressional candidates. I don’t think its abortion that has caused the shrinkage, although it has played a role. It’s more likely it is having Trump on TV, all the news about Trump that is the major reason. Independents don’t like Trump, only 33% of independents view Trump favorably vs. 57% unfavorably.
While most independents think abortion should be legal, it more of a, "I'd rather abortion be legal but it's not important enough to change who I had planned on voting for." In other words, abortion is way down on the list of issues that independents use to decide who they'll vote for.
the special election in New York showed an extra high democratic turnout vs. a more normal turnout among Republicans. I;m not sure what to read into that. Maybe a wake up call for the Republicans who many of have taken the midterms for granted. We'll see.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.