Abortion isn’t about to replace inflation, rising prices as the most important issue in deciding who one votes for or the Trump effect on independents. Most independents don’t give an owl’s hoot about abortion unless that affects them personally. It’s their wallets and purses that are feeling mighty thin that is the important issue. On this front the Democrats have gotten good news with falling gas prices, but not in rising food and housing prices. Also, Trump which is disliked by most independents continues to be hot news, not abortion. Throw in the fact Trump got nominated a few very poor-quality candidates along with being out of the mainstream candidates, extreme comes to mind for the senate, this will enable in my opinion for the Democrats retaining control in the senate. But not the house.

If you were following the Generic congressional ballot, all this news on Trump over the last month, not abortion allowed the democrats to shrink a 2.5-point GOP lead to actually taking the lead of 0.2 points for 3 days in August, 16, 17, 18 August. But have since fallen behind by 0.8 points as of this AM.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html

One other thing, as of this AM you have 91% of Republicans stating they’ll vote for their candidates, only 3% for the Democratic candidates. It’s almost identical among Democrats with 91% stating they’ll vote Democratic, 2% Republicans. The rest undecided, not sure. The historical average is 94% of those who identify themselves with either major party. I’m sure once the undecided’s decide, 94% of each party’s loyalist will vote for their party’s candidates.

It's independents that are flocking to candidates like Fetterman in PA, Barnes in OH, Kelly in AZ, Warnock in GA etc. Not either party’s base vote. In each case Trump chose and the Republicans went along with him to nominate very poor general election candidates.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.