Rick, did you look below that bar. The portion that list the districts via likely, lean and tossup? Even going by your bar or should I say, Cook’s.

You have 162 solid Democratic, 188 solid Republican
Add the likely 13 more bringing the Democrats to 175 and the likely GOP of 14 bring them to 202
Then the leans,15 for the democrats, up theirs to 190, then add 11 to the Republicans, lean you’re at 213 GOP

Cook has 32 pure tossups which consist of 24 currently held Democratic seats vs. 8 currently held Republican seats. If these two parties win all their solid, likely and lean seats, the Republicans need just 5 of the 32 pure tossup seats to regain control while the democrats need to win 27.

Simple math. Myself, I like taking not only Cook, but 6 other sites like Sabato, Inside Edition, 538, Fox, split ticket, Election Daily, add up all the different columns, categories and then divide and average them all out. I don’t rely on just one forecaster or prognosticator.


It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.