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I also noticed Demings closing the gap on Rubio. I’ve added Florida to my list. Here is the list as of today. Yes, Trump continues to do all he can do to ensure the democrats retain control of the senate. He's also beginning to effect a few house races. Doug has it right when he said, "Midterms: A battle for control by both parties. Some Republicans fear the election in November will be another referendum on Donald Trump. He lost the last one." This is what this midterm is turning into.
Senate and House update 7 Sep 2022
Senate +1-3 equals lean, but within the MOE. These states are very competitive with one party or candidate having a slight advantage. +4-6 outside the MOE, equals likely but still competitive. +7 and above, those states aren’t listed. They’re considered solid or safe for the party that currently holds them.
Senate changes – GA D Warnock down from +3 to +2, NH D Hassan up from +5 to +6, Florida added
Arizona Kelly D – Kelly +5 Democratic hold R 50 D 50 Georgia Warnock D – Warnock +2 Democratic hold R 50, D 50 Florida Rubio R – R Rubio +4 Republican hold R 50 D 50 Nevada Cortez Masto D – Cortez Masto +1 Democratic hold R 50 D 50 New Hampshire Hassan D – Hassan +6 Democratic hold R 50 D 50 North Carolina Burr R – Burr is retiring, open seat. R Budd vs. D Beasley. Budd +1 Republican hold. R 50 D 50 Ohio – Portman R – Portman is retiring, open seat. R Vance vs, D Ryan Vance +2 Republican hold. R 50 D 50 Pennsylvania Toomey R – Toomey is retiring, open seat. R Oz vs. D Fetterman, Fetterman +4 Democratic gain R 49 D 51 Wisconsin Johnson R – D Barnes +1 Democratic gain R 48 D 52
The Democrats gain 2 seats, giving them a 52-48 advantage. Harris can now take some days off.
House of Representatives
Currently the House of Representative consists of 222 Democrats, 213 Republicans. The GOP needs a net gain of 5 seats to take control of the House. There are 59 competitive, switchable, at risk districts. Currently held by 43 Democrats and 16 Republicans. Safe seats, 178 Democratic, 198 Republican. Probable net gain for the Republicans is 15-17 seats. Which would give the GOP control of the house with the majority over the Democrats somewhere between 228-207 to 230-205.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.