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I have no problem with CBS’s projection, but that is but one of many. It isn’t that far off from 14-16 Republican seat gain I have as of today. There’s one site that provides several projections, 270 to win. The difference between them, CBS and 270 to win is 270 to win includes tossup districts where CBS don’t.
These are some of the sites where I get my information, then average everything out. Sometimes averaging works, sometimes it doesn’t. Usually I come within a handful of districts. But I don’t use just one site. I do it differently than these prognosticators. I count lean and tossup seats as being competitive along with being at risk, switchable. Leans seats are still within the margin of error although one party or candidate has an advantage. I also like to let folks know who holds, which party holds these competitive, at risk of switching seats. The folks above average out to 24 tossup seats. Those tossup seats don’t include the lean seats which are also competitive and at risk. The average projection for those 9 sites is Republican 215, Democrat 196, tossups 24. Of those 24 tossups, 16 are currently held by Democrats, 8 currently held by Republicans. Using the average of 215 being projected, the Republicans would need but to win 3 of the 24 tossup seats to gain the majority while the Democrats would have to win 22 of 24.
If those 24 tossup seats were to split down the middle, 12 each, the GOP would have 227-208. Which basically matches CBS’s total of 223-212.
Last edited by perotista; 09/27/2203:12 AM.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.
