Capitol Hill Blue Forums Hot Topics & Breaking News News GOP and Democrats All But Tied Going into Midterms

The 62% who turned out to vote in the 2020 presidential was the highest since 1960 when 63% turned out. You must go all the way back to 1908 when 66% turned out to vote to beat 1960 63%. Going back through my records, the 50% is not an historical high for a midterm, in 1910 51% turned out for that year’s midterm. In the 1800’s an 80% turnout in presidential elections was common as was a 65% for the midterms. But many people weren’t eligible to vote back then.

Just keep in mind being registered to vote and actually voting is two different things. Which leads us back to voter turnout. Which for the most part is impossible to predict as to who turns out along with their voting habits. This year generic congressional ballot shows the Democrats with a 4 point lead among registered voters, but the Republicans are ahead in likely voters by a single point. Big difference in likely voters and registered voters. History shows 85% of those who say they're likely voters will go vote. Only 67% of registered voters do go vote.

It’s a political loser
- Morning Joe on GOP chatter of impeaching Biden

Rick, if the GOP retakes the House I’m sure there will be three things they’ll do right quick. One - They’ll impeach Biden only because the Democrats impeached Trump twice. Two - McCarthy will deny a few certain democrats any committee assignment in payback for Pelosi denying his committee choices on the 1-6 committee. Three – The house will use their investigative powers to open a 1-6 type investigation on Hunter Biden. In other words, a GOP controlled house will be more concerned with political payback than anything else.

The Republicans know that any legislation a Republican controlled house passes won’t see the light of day in a likely Democratic controlled senate or with a Democratic President. As for voter enthusiasm – it’s pretty even. To the question and question number 62. Enthusiasm about Voting in 2022 - Compared to voting in previous Congressional election years, are you more or less enthusiastic about voting in this year’s election? You have 36% of the Urban population more enthused, 37 Suburb, 39 rural. Then the party breakdown, 43% of democrats are more enthusiastic about voting in this year’s midterm, 47% of republicans with only 24% of independents stating they’re more enthusiastic. Basically, a wash. But a wash is good news for the Democrats. History has shown the party out of power is much more enthusiastic about voting in a midterm than the party in power.

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/r8e9fgqwcm/econTabReport.pdf

She did offer them spots, they refused because she rejected TWO of their choices, so they walked out en masse.
Pelosi did not deny them spots on the committee, she specifically rejected TWO of their choices and for damn good reason.

They will appoint Donald Trump as Speaker.

This is good for the Laugh of the Day. But come to think of it, one doesn’t have to be a member of the House to be selected Speaker. Like one doesn’t have to be a lawyer to sit on the SCOTUS. That makes Speaker Trump highly improbable, but possible.

Rejected, denied, same meaning. I’ve been told that this was the first time a Speaker denied, rejected any of the minority leaders’ choices to be on a committee. I researched it, googled it, but couldn’t get an answer. No matter how I worded it, the rejection of Banks and Jordon is all that came up. The results were inclusive for this being the first time a Speaker, any Speaker rejected any minority leader’s choice for a committee assignment. Its possible Pelosi’s rejection was the first and precedence setting, or it may not be. I’ve come to rely on google too much.

?? Is this another way of saying "It can't happen here" ??

There’s an old saying Jeffrey, Never say Never. Trump becoming Speaker has about as much chance of me winning both the Mega Millions and the Big game twice within the same week. It’s possible, but the probability factor is close to nil.

Because ??