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And some polls are outliers. Warnock is going to win. But it's not going to be by 12 points.
If I were going to take a guess about the final outcome I'd say maybe 2 percentage points tops. Might be tighter than that. Rs will vote for Rs no matter what...Independents will win the seat for Democrats.
Regarding viable third parties...we need two more. A progressive party for the lefties among us, and a conservative party for the extremists on that side,
Trouble is that most Americans are pretty moderate whether they lean liberal or conservative.
None want the higher taxes required for a leftist government and none want the heavy restrictions that come with a more authoritarian regime.
So even if we had two more viable parties, they wouldn't win many elections.
If we added a single "moderate" party it wouldn't get much interest because we've already got two moderate parties.