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The latest on Warnock vs. Walker

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/ga/georgia-senate-walker-vs-warnock-7329.html

I’d say with 5 polls somewhere between a tie and a 4 point lead for Warnock, the 12 point lead poll is an outlier. Interesting to note that the two latest polls, 4 October, FOX 5/InsiderAdvantage and the WXIA-TV/SurveyUSA, one had Warnock up by 12 and the other by only 3. I always like averaging polls as I think averaging give us a truer accuracy.

For your information, Insider Advantage has a lean toward the Democrats while Survey USA has no leans.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

Georgia senate race is on the cusp of moving from lean Democratic to likely Democratic. I too think Warnock will win. It’s a matter of how much.

I'm not so sure RCP can be trusted. If you click "Latest News" on their website, every single article is right-leaning and supports the Rwing agenda. Every cognizant individual knows that the Rwing agenda is a march to Fascism.

I hope America is a better country than that.

"Can't be trusted" might be a bit much however after glancing at it this morning I do indeed see a total domination of Fox News Channel on RCP's banner headlines.

So RCP apparently favors the political Right "more than a little bit."
They're kind of like the Rasmussen of Rasmussens.

No big thing Rick, Jeffrey. I realize polls are but an indicator of what likely will happen. Not what will. The voters in November have the final say. Besides, polls are dynamic, they go up and go down. But here a site that list 10 different pundits, forecasts, prognosticators in which 9 out of 10 list Georgia as tossup. In other words, neither Walker nor Warnock has an advantage.

https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-election-predictions/

Myself, RCP and Nate Silver’s 538 are the only ones who have Georgia leaning Democratic.

I find Nate to be more correct, than wrong.

Nate is giving Warnock a 50.2 to 48.2 over Walker with Warnock having a 59% chance of winning. RCP has Warnock over Walker 48.0 to 44.2. RCP doesn’t give a percent chance on winning or losing. Nate was the only pundit, forecaster I know of that gave Trump a 30% chance of winning in 2016. No other forecaster gave Trump a chance at all.

Hmmmm.....

COVID Deadlier for Republicans

Don't forget me Perot! I've got Warnock over Walker by 2 points via the independent vote.

That's an optimistic 2 points in a race that could come down to a recount.

Biden's big weed pardon should bump his favorability rating a bit...keep an eye on that for us, eh?

Greger, Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver will probably help Warnock out along with independents which today are backing Warnock by a around 46-36 depending on the poll. Most of Oliver’s support are coming from Independents, 6% and Republicans 4% with Democrats adding a single point. If these numbers hold, I’d expect Warnock to win by 5 plus points and avoid a runoff. RCP averages gives Warnock a 3.8-point lead which I don’t think will shrink. I sure it will only grow.

Oliver’s support from Republican may grow beyond the current 4%. Oliver gives the anti-Trump, conservative Republicans someone to vote for without having to pull the lever for the liberal Warnock. Keep in mind, Georgia has a runoff system, if no candidate receives 50% plus one vote, there will be a runoff 3 weeks after the general election. A runoff is possible. It was in a runoff that both Democrats Ossoff and Warnock won their senate seats.

Some months back I consulted the ancestors about Walker's chances...they laughed and refused divulge any details.

Recent headlines regarding Walker's past behavior may have been what they were laughing about.